Football · Australia New South Wales Premier League · 15/08, 09:00

Prediction: Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 58

Team pages: Sydney Olympic · Sydney United 58

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.58Total

Sydney Olympic0.99

Sydney United 581.59

1X2

24% 25% 51%

Sydney Olympic Draw Sydney United 58

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Sydney Olympic 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Sydney United 58 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Sydney Olympic 3–1–2 Sydney United 58 (6 last)

Sydney United 583-0Sydney Olympic
Sydney United 582-1Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic4-0Sydney United 58
Sydney United 582-2Sydney Olympic
Sydney United 580-1Sydney Olympic
Sydney Olympic6-0Sydney United 58

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Sydney Olympic 1448 · Sydney United 58 1570

	Sydney Olympic	Draw	Sydney United 58
Our model	22%	28%	50%
Market	25%	23%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Sydney United 58 (rating 1448 vs 1570).
H2H favours Sydney Olympic: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Sydney Olympic	Sydney United 58
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 2.4	0.9 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.3	0.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.7	1.7 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

13.60

X3.90

21.70

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.82

2 (-0.75)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:24

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.70 → 1.70	Bet365 1.70

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:16 +9’	3.60	3.90	1.70

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Sydney Olympic 3–1–2 Sydney United 58

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Date	Home	Score	Away
03/05/26 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	3-0 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic
24/08/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	2-1 HT 1-0	Sydney Olympic
10/05/25 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	4-0 HT 2-0	Sydney United 58
07/05/25 Australia Cup Qualifying	Sydney United 58	2-2 HT 2-1	Sydney Olympic
09/06/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney United 58	0-1 HT 0-1	Sydney Olympic
02/03/24 Australia New South Wales Premier League	Sydney Olympic	6-0 HT 2-0	Sydney United 58

Standings · Australia New South Wales Premier League

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Apia L Tigers	27	19	4	4	59	32	61
2	Sydney United 58	27	18	3	6	39	19	57
3	Marconi Stallions	27	17	4	6	47	21	55
4	Sutherland Sharks	27	13	4	10	43	34	43
5	SD Raiders	27	11	5	11	41	44	38
6	Manly Utd	27	10	8	9	33	31	38
7	Rockdale Ilinden FC	27	11	4	12	42	40	37
8	Sydney FC U21	27	10	7	10	35	39	37
9	Western Sydney Wanderers U21	27	10	5	12	51	43	35
10	Blacktown City	27	9	7	11	42	42	34
11	NWS Spirit FC	27	10	4	13	31	37	34
12	St George City FA	27	9	7	11	25	40	34
13	Wollongong Wolves	27	9	5	13	30	38	32
14	University NSW	27	9	4	14	38	45	31
15	Sydney Olympic	27	6	4	17	30	58	22
16	St George Saints	27	6	3	18	25	48	21

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Sydney Olympic	Sydney United 58
Apia L Tigers	1-3 L	1-1 D
Wollongong Wolves	3-2 W	2-1 W
Rockdale Ilinden FC	0-4 L	1-0 W
NWS Spirit FC	0-3 L	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 3 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Better against common opponents: Sydney United 58 (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Sydney Olympic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	University NSW Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	3-1	3	4	W
02/08	Apia L Tigers Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-2	1-3	2	1	L
30/07	Brisbane Roar Australia Cup	0-0	0-3	6	2	L
24/07	Manly Utd Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	0-4	3	2	L
18/07	Sutherland Sharks Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	1-1	12	5	D
11/07	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	2-2	3-2	3	0	W
04/07	Western Sydney Wanderers U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-1	1-2	4	1	L
27/06	St George Saints Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-1	3	6	W
20/06	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-3	0-4	0	1	L
13/06	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-2	0-3	1	5	L

Sydney United 58

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
12/08	Apia L Tigers Australia Cup	0-1	1-1	5	4	D
09/08	Wollongong Wolves Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-1	2-1	4	3	W
02/08	NWS Spirit FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
25/07	St George City FA Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	6	3	L
22/07	Central Coast Mariners Australia Cup	0-0	1-1	6	4	D
19/07	Marconi Stallions Australia New South Wales Premier League	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
12/07	Rockdale Ilinden FC Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	3	0	W
05/07	Blacktown City Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
26/06	Sydney FC U21 Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	0-1	7	2	L
21/06	SD Raiders Australia New South Wales Premier League	0-0	1-0	6	7	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 58?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Sydney United 58 win (51%). Probabilities: Sydney Olympic 24%, draw 25%, Sydney United 58 51%.

How many goals are expected in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 58?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Sydney Olympic 0.99 · Sydney United 58 1.59), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Sydney Olympic vs Sydney United 58?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.