Football · Brazil Copa Rio · 05/08, 20:00

Prediction: Marica RJ vs Boavista RJ

Team pages: Marica RJ · Boavista RJ

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Marica RJ1
Boavista RJ1.26
1X2
29% 30% 41%
Marica RJ Draw Boavista RJ
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Marica RJ 3-5-2 (W-D-L)
LDDWDWLDDW
Boavista RJ 3-3-4 (W-D-L)
WLDDLLLDWW
Head-to-head
Marica RJ 2–1 Boavista RJ (3 last)
  • Marica RJ1-0Boavista RJ
  • Boavista RJ2-1Marica RJ
  • Marica RJ1-0Boavista RJ
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Marica RJ 1523 · Boavista RJ 1486
Marica RJDrawBoavista RJ
Our model28%31%41%
Market29%29%42%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

  • H2H favours Marica RJ: 2-0-1.
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Marica RJBoavista RJ
Goals for / against (FT)1 / 0.71.3 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.20.5 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/60/20%20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.31.9 / 3.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.8 / 0.15.2 / 0.2

Head-to-head (H2H) · Marica RJ 201 Boavista RJ

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
05/07/25
Brazil Serie D
Marica RJ1-0
HT 1-0
Boavista RJ
10/05/25
Brazil Serie D
Boavista RJ2-1
HT 2-1
Marica RJ
15/01/25
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
Marica RJ1-0
HT 1-0
Boavista RJ

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Marica RJ

LDDWDWLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Perolas Negras
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 3-0 79 W
18/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-1 1-1 135 D
15/07 Perolas Negras
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 0-0 37 D
11/07 Resende RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-1 15 L
04/07 Perolas Negras
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 2-0 54 W
27/06 Americano RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-1 45 D
20/06 Audax Rio
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 1-0 75 W
14/06 Serrano
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
1-0 1-1 28 D
10/06 Bonsucesso FC
Brazil Campeonato Carioca A2
0-0 0-0 35 D
07/06 Velo Clube SP
Brazil Serie D
0-1 1-3 86 L

Boavista RJ

WLDDLLLDWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/07 Araruama FC
Brazil Copa Rio
0-0 4-0 17 W
15/07 Araruama FC
Brazil Copa Rio
1-0 1-0 53 W
28/02 Botafogo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
0-0 0-0 43 D
24/02 Maringa FC
Copa do Brasil
0-2 2-3 015 L
22/02 Botafogo
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
0-1 0-2 13 L
13/02 Madureira RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
1-1 1-2 94 L
08/02 Bangu
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
0-0 1-1 42 D
30/01 Sampaio Correa RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
1-1 1-1 36 D
26/01 Vasco da Gama
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
0-1 0-3 32 L
22/01 Portuguesa RJ
Brazil Campeonato Carioca
2-1 3-2 59 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Marica RJ vs Boavista RJ?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Boavista RJ win (41%). Probabilities: Marica RJ 29%, draw 30%, Boavista RJ 41%.

How many goals are expected in Marica RJ vs Boavista RJ?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Marica RJ 1 · Boavista RJ 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Marica RJ vs Boavista RJ?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.