Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 08/08, 07:15

Prediction: Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico

Team pages: Eastern United · Adelaide Atletico

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.79Total

Eastern United1.18

Adelaide Atletico1.61

1X2

28% 25% 47%

Eastern United Draw Adelaide Atletico

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Eastern United 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

LDWWDLDLLW

Adelaide Atletico 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

DWWLLWDLLW

Head-to-head

Eastern United 2–3–1 Adelaide Atletico (6 last)

Adelaide Atletico5-0Eastern United
Eastern United3-2Adelaide Atletico
Adelaide Atletico3-3Eastern United
Eastern United2-1Adelaide Atletico
Adelaide Atletico1-1Eastern United
Eastern United1-1Adelaide Atletico

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Eastern United 1469 · Adelaide Atletico 1502

	Eastern United	Draw	Adelaide Atletico
Our model	27%	27%	46%
Market	29%	23%	48%

Estimated total (ours) 2.79 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Eastern United: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Eastern United	Adelaide Atletico
Goals for / against (FT)	0.7 / 1.2	1.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/40/40%	30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.9	1.5 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.6 / 0	5.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.90

21.85

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.88

2 (-0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 2.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.90 → 3.90	Bet365 3.90
2	1.85 → 1.85	Bet365 1.85

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
07:10 +2’	3.10	3.90	1.85

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Eastern United 2–3–1 Adelaide Atletico

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Atletico	5-0 HT 4-0	Eastern United
27/05/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	3-2 HT 2-0	Adelaide Atletico
04/03/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Atletico	3-3 HT 3-1	Eastern United
05/06/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	2-1 HT 1-0	Adelaide Atletico
26/02/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Atletico	1-1 HT 0-0	Eastern United
10/07/21 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	1-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Atletico

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	20	13	2	5	51	24	41
2	Adelaide Olympic	20	13	1	6	40	24	40
3	Modbury Jets	20	11	5	4	41	20	38
4	Cumberland United	20	11	1	8	36	25	34
5	Fulham United FC	20	10	3	7	39	30	33
6	Adelaide Atletico	20	10	3	7	35	29	33
7	Adelaide Blue Eagles	20	9	5	6	33	27	32
8	Cove	20	7	5	8	26	29	26
9	Adelaide Cobras	20	6	2	12	22	39	20
10	Eastern United	20	5	4	11	20	40	19
11	Salisbury United	20	4	2	14	23	44	14
12	South Adelaide	20	3	3	14	22	57	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Eastern United	Adelaide Atletico
Fulham United FC	2-1 W	1-4 L
Salisbury United	0-3 L	2-0 W
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-3 L	1-3 L
Modbury Jets	0-0 D	0-4 L
Cumberland United	0-1 L	2-1 W
Adelaide Cobras	1-1 D	3-2 W
Adelaide Olympic	2-1 W	0-1 L
Cove	1-0 W	0-0 D
South Adelaide	1-1 D	1-1 D
Adelaide Blue Eagles	0-1 L	4-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 4 L	4 W 2 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Atletico (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Eastern United

LDWWDLDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
24/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
18/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
03/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
20/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
12/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D
22/05	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-1	1	5	L

Adelaide Atletico

DWWLLWDLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	4	5	W
25/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	2	2	L
18/07	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	6	L
04/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	3	7	D
27/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	6	7	W
20/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-3	1-3	4	6	L
13/06	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	1-4	6	4	L
06/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	1	4	W
30/05	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	3-2	8	6	W
23/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	9	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Adelaide Atletico win (47%). Probabilities: Eastern United 28%, draw 25%, Adelaide Atletico 47%.

How many goals are expected in Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico?

The model expects 2.79 goals (Eastern United 1.18 · Adelaide Atletico 1.61), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Eastern United vs Adelaide Atletico?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.