Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:30

Prediction: Cove vs Fulham United FC

Team pages: Cove · Fulham United FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.82Total

Cove1.25

Fulham United FC1.56

1X2

30% 25% 44%

Cove Draw Fulham United FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cove 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Fulham United FC 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cove 0–2–3 Fulham United FC (5 last)

Fulham United FC3-2Cove
Fulham United FC4-0Cove
Cove0-0Fulham United FC
Cove1-1Fulham United FC
Fulham United FC3-0Cove

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cove 1429 · Fulham United FC 1504

	Cove	Draw	Fulham United FC
Our model	29%	27%	43%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.82 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fulham United FC (rating 1429 vs 1504).
H2H favours Fulham United FC: 3-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 6.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cove	Fulham United FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.7	1.4 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.9	0.5 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.8 / 3.9	1.3 / 3.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.9 / 0.3	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.88

Under 31.93

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:11 +21’	2.90	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Cove 0–2–3 Fulham United FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	3-2 HT 2-1	Cove
02/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	4-0 HT 1-0	Cove
10/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Cove	0-0 HT 0-0	Fulham United FC
24/04/21 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Cove	1-1 HT 1-0	Fulham United FC
21/04/18 Australia South Australia State League 1	Fulham United FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Cove

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	21	14	2	5	55	26	44
2	Adelaide Olympic	21	14	1	6	42	24	43
3	Modbury Jets	21	12	5	4	45	20	41
4	Fulham United FC	21	10	4	7	39	30	34
5	Cumberland United	21	11	1	9	36	27	34
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	21	9	6	6	33	27	33
7	Adelaide Atletico	21	10	3	8	37	33	33
8	Cove	21	7	5	9	28	33	26
9	Eastern United	21	6	4	11	24	42	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	21	6	2	13	22	43	20
11	South Adelaide	21	4	3	14	25	59	15
12	Salisbury United	21	4	2	15	25	47	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cove	Fulham United FC
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	2-4 L	0-1 L
Cumberland United	0-2 L	1-3 L
Adelaide Cobras	0-1 L	3-0 W
South Adelaide	2-2 D	1-0 W
Modbury Jets	0-0 D	2-0 W
Adelaide Atletico	0-0 D	4-1 W
Salisbury United	4-0 W	2-2 D
Adelaide Olympic	0-2 L	0-4 L
Eastern United	0-1 L	1-2 L
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 5 L	4 W 1 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Fulham United FC (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cove

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
07/08	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	2-4	2	5	L
01/08	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	4	3	L
25/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-1	2	7	L
18/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	2-2	6	6	D
14/07	Adelaide United Australia Friendlies	0-4	0-5	1	0	L
07/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
04/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	5	7	D
27/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	3-0	4-0	6	2	W
20/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	5	1	L
05/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-1	2	6	L

Fulham United FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	3	4	D
01/08	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-2	6	3	L
25/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
16/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	7	2	L
04/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	1	0	W
27/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	4	4	W
20/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	2-2	5	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-1	2	4	W
05/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	4	3	W
29/05	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	3	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cove vs Fulham United FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Fulham United FC win (44%). Probabilities: Cove 30%, draw 25%, Fulham United FC 44%.

How many goals are expected in Cove vs Fulham United FC?

The model expects 2.82 goals (Cove 1.25 · Fulham United FC 1.56), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cove vs Fulham United FC?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.