Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:30

Prediction: Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United

Team pages: Adelaide Cobras · Salisbury United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.3Total

Adelaide Cobras1.59

Salisbury United1.72

1X2

35% 24% 41%

Adelaide Cobras Draw Salisbury United

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Cobras 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

WLLDLLDWLL

Salisbury United 2-1-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Adelaide Cobras 3–1–2 Salisbury United (6 last)

Salisbury United2-1Adelaide Cobras
Salisbury United3-3Adelaide Cobras
Adelaide Cobras0-2Salisbury United
Adelaide Cobras3-2Salisbury United
Salisbury United0-1Adelaide Cobras
Adelaide Cobras2-1Salisbury United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Cobras 1434 · Salisbury United 1442

	Adelaide Cobras	Draw	Salisbury United
Our model	35%	25%	40%
Market	35%	24%	41%

Estimated total (ours) 3.3 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Adelaide Cobras: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Cobras	Salisbury United
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 2.2	1.6 / 2.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/10/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.7 / 3.2	2.3 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.6 / 0.1	2.3 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.55

X3.75

22.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.80

2 (-0.25)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 31.80

Under 32.00

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 3.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.55 → 2.55	Bet365 2.55
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.20 → 2.20	Bet365 2.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
05:31 +2’	2.55	3.75	2.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Cobras 3–1–2 Salisbury United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Salisbury United	2-1 HT 1-1	Adelaide Cobras
09/08/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Salisbury United	3-3 HT 2-3	Adelaide Cobras
17/05/25 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	0-2 HT 0-0	Salisbury United
09/07/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Cobras	3-2 HT 2-1	Salisbury United
06/04/24 Australia South Australia State League 1	Salisbury United	0-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Cobras
18/07/20 Australia South Australia State League 2	Adelaide Cobras	2-1 HT 1-1	Salisbury United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	21	14	2	5	55	26	44
2	Adelaide Olympic	21	14	1	6	42	24	43
3	Modbury Jets	21	12	5	4	45	20	41
4	Fulham United FC	21	10	4	7	39	30	34
5	Cumberland United	21	11	1	9	36	27	34
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	21	9	6	6	33	27	33
7	Adelaide Atletico	21	10	3	8	37	33	33
8	Cove	21	7	5	9	28	33	26
9	Eastern United	21	6	4	11	24	42	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	21	6	2	13	22	43	20
11	South Adelaide	21	4	3	14	25	59	15
12	Salisbury United	21	4	2	15	25	47	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Cobras	Salisbury United
Modbury Jets	0-4 L	2-3 L
Adelaide Olympic	0-2 L	0-1 L
Cove	1-0 W	0-4 L
Adelaide Blue Eagles	0-0 D	0-3 L
Fulham United FC	0-3 L	2-2 D
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	0-7 L	4-3 W
Eastern United	1-1 D	3-0 W
Cumberland United	0-2 L	3-4 L
South Adelaide	2-0 W	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: Salisbury United (6 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Adelaide Cobras

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-4	3	3	L
01/08	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
25/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	3	7	W
18/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	5	2	D
04/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	4	0	L
27/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-7	2	1	L
20/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-1	4	3	D
13/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	2	5	L
10/06	Cumberland United Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	2-3	3	3	L
06/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	1	0	W

Salisbury United

LWLDLLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	2-3	7	2	L
01/08	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	6	5	L
24/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	3-0	4	1	W
18/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	2-3	10	3	L
03/07	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	5	3	L
27/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-3	0-4	6	2	L
20/06	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	2-2	3	3	D
13/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-3	1	3	L
06/06	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	2-0	4-3	6	1	W
30/05	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-3	3-4	3	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Salisbury United win (41%). Probabilities: Adelaide Cobras 35%, draw 24%, Salisbury United 41%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United?

The model expects 3.3 goals (Adelaide Cobras 1.59 · Salisbury United 1.72), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Cobras vs Salisbury United?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.