Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:30

Prediction: Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United

Team pages: Adelaide Blue Eagles · Eastern United

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.69Total

Adelaide Blue Eagles1.79

Eastern United0.9

1X2

59% 23% 19%

Adelaide Blue Eagles Draw Eastern United

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Adelaide Blue Eagles 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

LWDLWWDLDD

Eastern United 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDLDLLWW

Head-to-head

Adelaide Blue Eagles 4–1 Eastern United (5 last)

Eastern United0-1Adelaide Blue Eagles
Eastern United3-2Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles4-2Eastern United
Eastern United0-1Adelaide Blue Eagles
Adelaide Blue Eagles4-1Eastern United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Adelaide Blue Eagles 1509 · Eastern United 1494

	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Draw	Eastern United
Our model	57%	25%	18%
Market	60%	21%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.69 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Adelaide Blue Eagles: 4-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Eastern United
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.2	1.1 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.7	0.3 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.2	1.8 / 4.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.3	3.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.33

24.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)2.00

2 (+1.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.98

Under 3.251.82

Diff.: 0.75 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:33

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.33 → 4.33	Bet365 4.33
2	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12%

Time*	1	X	2
05:22 +10’	1.50	4.33	4.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Adelaide Blue Eagles 4–0–1 Eastern United

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	0-1 HT 0-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles
05/08/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	3-2 HT 2-1	Adelaide Blue Eagles
29/04/23 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	4-2 HT 1-1	Eastern United
28/05/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Eastern United	0-1 HT 0-0	Adelaide Blue Eagles
21/02/22 Australia South Australia State League 1	Adelaide Blue Eagles	4-1 HT 2-1	Eastern United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	21	14	2	5	55	26	44
2	Adelaide Olympic	21	14	1	6	42	24	43
3	Modbury Jets	21	12	5	4	45	20	41
4	Fulham United FC	21	10	4	7	39	30	34
5	Cumberland United	21	11	1	9	36	27	34
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	21	9	6	6	33	27	33
7	Adelaide Atletico	21	10	3	8	37	33	33
8	Cove	21	7	5	9	28	33	26
9	Eastern United	21	6	4	11	24	42	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	21	6	2	13	22	43	20
11	South Adelaide	21	4	3	14	25	59	15
12	Salisbury United	21	4	2	15	25	47	14

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Adelaide Blue Eagles	Eastern United
Fulham United FC	0-0 D	2-1 W
Adelaide Croatia Raiders	1-1 D	0-3 L
Cumberland United	1-2 L	0-1 L
Adelaide Cobras	0-0 D	1-1 D
Modbury Jets	3-1 W	0-0 D
South Adelaide	4-1 W	1-1 D
Adelaide Atletico	0-4 L	4-2 W
Salisbury United	3-0 W	0-3 L
Adelaide Olympic	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 3 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Adelaide Blue Eagles (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Adelaide Blue Eagles

LWDLWWDLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
01/08	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	4	2	D
25/07	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
18/07	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
13/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	5	7	W
04/07	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	3-1	4-1	7	3	W
27/06	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-4	5	7	L
20/06	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
13/06	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-0	5	3	W
06/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-2	3	9	L

Eastern United

DWWDLDLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-2	5	4	W
01/08	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-1	3	3	W
24/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	7	1	L
18/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	0-2	0-3	1	3	L
03/07	Modbury Jets Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	2	5	D
26/06	Cumberland United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-1	3	4	L
20/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	1-1	9	3	D
12/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-1	4	2	W
05/06	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	1-0	5	6	W
30/05	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-1	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Adelaide Blue Eagles win (59%). Probabilities: Adelaide Blue Eagles 59%, draw 23%, Eastern United 19%.

How many goals are expected in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United?

The model expects 2.69 goals (Adelaide Blue Eagles 1.79 · Eastern United 0.9), with a 59% chance of under 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Adelaide Blue Eagles vs Eastern United?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.