Football · Australia South Australia State League 1 · 15/08, 09:30

Prediction: Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets

Team pages: Cumberland United · Modbury Jets

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.11Total

Cumberland United1.39

Modbury Jets1.72

1X2

31% 25% 45%

Cumberland United Draw Modbury Jets

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 62% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Cumberland United 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

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Modbury Jets 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Cumberland United 4–2 Modbury Jets (6 last)

Modbury Jets0-1Cumberland United
Modbury Jets1-2Cumberland United
Cumberland United3-0Modbury Jets
Modbury Jets1-3Cumberland United
Cumberland United0-3Modbury Jets
Modbury Jets1-0Cumberland United

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cumberland United 1549 · Modbury Jets 1521

	Cumberland United	Draw	Modbury Jets
Our model	30%	26%	44%
Market	31%	24%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 3.11 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Cumberland United: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Cumberland United	Modbury Jets
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.2	2 / 1.1
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.9	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.3	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.5 / 0.2	3.8 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.75

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.95

2 (-0.25)1.85

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:12

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Bet365 2.90
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
07:10 +1’	2.90	3.75	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cumberland United 4–0–2 Modbury Jets

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Date	Home	Score	Away
23/05/26 Australia South Australia State League 1	Modbury Jets	0-1 HT 0-0	Cumberland United
19/09/20 Australia South Australia Premier League	Modbury Jets	1-2 HT 1-2	Cumberland United
18/07/20 Australia South Australia Premier League	Cumberland United	3-0 HT 1-0	Modbury Jets
14/09/19 Australia South Australia State League 1	Modbury Jets	1-3 HT 0-1	Cumberland United
06/04/19 Australia South Australia State League 1	Cumberland United	0-3 HT 0-1	Modbury Jets
18/08/18 Australia South Australia State League 1	Modbury Jets	1-0 HT 1-0	Cumberland United

Standings · Australia South Australia State League 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Adelaide Croatia Raiders	21	14	2	5	55	26	44
2	Adelaide Olympic	21	14	1	6	42	24	43
3	Modbury Jets	21	12	5	4	45	20	41
4	Fulham United FC	21	10	4	7	39	30	34
5	Cumberland United	21	11	1	9	36	27	34
6	Adelaide Blue Eagles	21	9	6	6	33	27	33
7	Adelaide Atletico	21	10	3	8	37	33	33
8	Cove	21	7	5	9	28	33	26
9	Eastern United	21	6	4	11	24	42	22
10	Adelaide Cobras	21	6	2	13	22	43	20
11	South Adelaide	21	4	3	14	25	59	15
12	Salisbury United	21	4	2	15	25	47	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Cumberland United	Modbury Jets
Adelaide Olympic	0-2 L	4-1 W
Cove	2-0 W	0-0 D
Adelaide Blue Eagles	2-1 W	1-3 L
Fulham United FC	3-1 W	0-2 L
Eastern United	1-0 W	0-0 D
South Adelaide	5-1 W	3-2 W
Adelaide Cobras	2-0 W	4-0 W
Record vs common	6 W 0 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Cumberland United (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Cumberland United

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
01/08	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	2-0	5	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
21/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup	0-2	0-3	1	2	L
16/07	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-1	1	2	W
11/07	White City FK Beograd Australia South Australia Federation Cup	1-1	2-2	1	9	D
04/07	Adelaide Croatia Raiders Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-2	4	2	L
26/06	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	1-0	5	4	W
20/06	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	4-1	5-1	3	2	W
13/06	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	2-0	3	5	W

Modbury Jets

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Adelaide Cobras Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	4-0	2	3	W
01/08	South Adelaide Australia South Australia State League 1	2-1	3-2	8	3	W
25/07	Adelaide Atletico Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-0	2	2	W
18/07	Salisbury United Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	3-2	6	3	W
13/07	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-2	1-3	6	7	L
07/07	Cove Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
03/07	Eastern United Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-0	7	5	D
27/06	Adelaide Olympic Australia South Australia State League 1	1-0	4-1	8	4	W
20/06	Adelaide Blue Eagles Australia South Australia State League 1	1-1	1-1	3	6	D
05/06	Fulham United FC Australia South Australia State League 1	0-0	0-2	1	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Modbury Jets win (45%). Probabilities: Cumberland United 31%, draw 25%, Modbury Jets 45%.

How many goals are expected in Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets?

The model expects 3.11 goals (Cumberland United 1.39 · Modbury Jets 1.72), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Cumberland United vs Modbury Jets?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.