Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 17:30

Prediction: Kultsu FC vs HaPK

Team pages: Kultsu FC · HaPK

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.35Total

Kultsu FC2.71

HaPK1.64

1X2

60% 19% 21%

Kultsu FC Draw HaPK

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

Kultsu FC 7-2-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWWWWL

HaPK 6-1-3 (W-D-L)

WDWWLWLLWW

Head-to-head

Kultsu FC 3–3 HaPK (6 last)

HaPK0-4Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC3-2HaPK
HaPK5-1Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC1-5HaPK
HaPK4-1Kultsu FC
Kultsu FC4-2HaPK

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kultsu FC 1578 · HaPK 1534

	Kultsu FC	Draw	HaPK
Our model	60%	19%	21%
Market	60%	19%	21%

Estimated total (ours) 4.35 goals · Bet365 line 4 · +0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kultsu FC (rating 1578 vs 1534).
High corners: 16 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Kultsu FC	HaPK
Goals for / against (FT)	3.2 / 1.1	2.8 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.3	1.4 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	70/20/10%	60/20/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	4 / 9.4	2.2 / 6.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.4 / 0.1	3.2 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.50

X4.75

24.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.25)1.98

2 (+1.25)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 41.88

Under 41.93

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 4.45

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
04:58 +8’	1.50	4.75	4.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kultsu FC 3–0–3 HaPK

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
06/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	HaPK	0-4 HT 0-1	Kultsu FC
29/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	3-2 HT 2-1	HaPK
29/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	HaPK	5-1 HT 3-0	Kultsu FC
25/05/23 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	1-5 HT 0-5	HaPK
14/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	HaPK	4-1 HT 3-0	Kultsu FC
11/06/21 Finland Kolmonen	Kultsu FC	4-2 HT 1-1	HaPK

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Eastern, Group 3

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	IPS Edustus	13	9	3	1	30	17	30
2	Kultsu FC	13	9	2	2	37	13	29
3	PeKa	13	9	2	2	41	18	29
4	MiPK	13	8	2	3	38	18	26
5	HaPK	13	8	1	4	31	22	25
6	MP II	13	6	0	7	28	25	18
7	LAUTP	13	5	2	6	27	29	17
8	KoPa	13	5	2	6	18	26	17
9	KJP	13	5	1	7	21	19	16
10	Edustus STPS	13	2	2	9	14	29	8
11	Kumu	13	2	2	9	16	46	8
12	LAUTP II	13	0	1	12	4	43	1

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Kultsu FC	HaPK
PeKa	1-4 L	2-4 L
Edustus STPS	4-0 W	4-0 W
MiPK	3-2 W	4-3 W
LAUTP II	8-0 W	0-0 D
Kumu	5-0 W	5-1 W
LAUTP	3-0 W	5-2 W
KoPa	2-2 D	3-1 W
KJP	3-1 W	2-0 W
MP II	2-1 W	1-4 L
IPS Edustus	1-1 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	7 W 2 D 1 L	6 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Kultsu FC (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kultsu FC

DWWDWWWWWL

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
30/07	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-4	8	2	L
09/07	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	6	1	W
02/07	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	3	2	W
25/06	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	8-0	11	1	W
17/06	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	3-0	5-0	16	1	W
10/06	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	13	3	W
05/06	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	5	4	D
28/05	KJP Finland Kolmonen	2-1	3-1	11	3	W
20/05	MP II Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	15	4	W
13/05	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	6	4	D

HaPK

WDWWLWLLWW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
28/07	KoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-1	9	3	W
25/07	KJP Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
03/07	MP II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-4	10	1	L
27/06	IPS Edustus Finland Kolmonen	–	2-3	–	–	L
17/06	LAUTP Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-2	5	6	W
13/06	PeKa Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L
06/06	Edustus STPS Finland Kolmonen	–	4-0	–	–	W
28/05	MiPK Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-3	3	5	W
23/05	LAUTP II Finland Kolmonen	–	0-0	–	–	D
17/05	Kumu Finland Kolmonen	–	5-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kultsu FC vs HaPK?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kultsu FC win (60%). Probabilities: Kultsu FC 60%, draw 19%, HaPK 21%.

How many goals are expected in Kultsu FC vs HaPK?

The model expects 4.35 goals (Kultsu FC 2.71 · HaPK 1.64), with a 52% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in Kultsu FC vs HaPK?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.