Football · Finland Kolmonen · 16/08, 14:00

Prediction: GrIFK Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti

Team pages: GrIFK Reservi · PPJ/Ruoholahti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.55Total

GrIFK Reservi2.03

PPJ/Ruoholahti1.52

1X2

49% 22% 28%

GrIFK Reservi Draw PPJ/Ruoholahti

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

GrIFK Reservi 4-0-6 (W-D-L)

LLLWWWLLLW

PPJ/Ruoholahti 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WLDWLLWLLW

Head-to-head

GrIFK Reservi 1–1–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti (3 last)

PPJ/Ruoholahti1-1GrIFK Reservi
PPJ/Ruoholahti1-2GrIFK Reservi
GrIFK Reservi0-1PPJ/Ruoholahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · GrIFK Reservi 1487 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1480

	GrIFK Reservi	Draw	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Our model	49%	23%	28%
Market	50%	21%	29%

Estimated total (ours) 3.55 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 11 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	GrIFK Reservi	PPJ/Ruoholahti
Goals for / against (FT)	1.8 / 1.8	1.5 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.3 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/25/25%	0/67/33%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.3	2.8 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.1	2.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.80

X4.20

23.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.85

2 (+0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.98

Under 3.751.82

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 3.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 09:46

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.6%

Time*	1	X	2
09:41 +5’	1.80	4.20	3.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · GrIFK Reservi 1–1–1 PPJ/Ruoholahti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	1-1 HT 1-1	GrIFK Reservi
05/09/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	1-2 HT 0-1	GrIFK Reservi
29/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	GrIFK Reservi	0-1 HT 0-0	PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	15	12	1	2	57	20	37
2	ESPA	15	12	1	2	39	12	37
3	LePa	15	9	2	4	34	28	29
4	Poxyt	14	8	1	5	32	29	25
5	NuPS	15	6	4	5	26	21	22
6	LoPa	15	7	1	7	24	24	22
7	Gilla FC	15	5	2	8	30	35	17
8	PPJ/Ruoholahti	14	4	3	7	21	36	15
9	GrIFK Reservi	14	4	2	8	24	28	14
10	MPS	15	3	3	9	13	27	12
11	EPS Reservi	14	3	3	8	20	42	12
12	HooGee	15	3	1	11	27	45	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	GrIFK Reservi	PPJ/Ruoholahti
MPS	3-0 W	0-0 D
EIF Academy	1-2 L	0-4 L
EPS Reservi	0-2 L	5-1 W
NuPS	0-3 L	1-6 L
ESPA	4-2 W	0-1 L
LoPa	2-1 W	3-0 W
LePa	4-0 W	1-3 L
Gilla FC	1-2 L	2-1 W
HooGee	1-2 L	3-2 W
Poxyt	2-4 L	0-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 0 D 6 L	4 W 1 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: GrIFK Reservi (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

GrIFK Reservi

LLLWWWLLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	MPS Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-0	5	2	W
30/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-2	3	8	L
26/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
03/07	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	–	0-3	–	–	L
28/06	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	1-0	4-2	5	5	W
12/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	8	5	W
07/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	2-0	4-0	4	3	W
27/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	9	5	L
21/05	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	8	5	L
13/05	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	–	2-4	–	–	L

PPJ/Ruoholahti

WLDWLLWLLW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
06/08	HooGee Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	9	2	W
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L
10/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	10	4	L
04/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
28/05	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
22/05	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
13/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in GrIFK Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

According to our model, the most likely result is a GrIFK Reservi win (49%). Probabilities: GrIFK Reservi 49%, draw 22%, PPJ/Ruoholahti 28%.

How many goals are expected in GrIFK Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model expects 3.55 goals (GrIFK Reservi 2.03 · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1.52), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in GrIFK Reservi vs PPJ/Ruoholahti?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.