Football · Finland Kolmonen · 16/08, 13:00

Prediction: JäPS/47 vs ToTe/Tapio

Team pages: JäPS/47 · ToTe/Tapio

Prediction summary
Expected goals
4.66Total
JäPS/473.33
ToTe/Tapio1.33
1X2
80% 11% 8%
JäPS/47 Draw ToTe/Tapio
Markets
Under 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
3-1
Recent form · 10 last
JäPS/47 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
DWLLWLWWWD
ToTe/Tapio 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLDDLLWLL
Head-to-head
JäPS/47 1–0 ToTe/Tapio (1 last)
  • ToTe/Tapio1-3JäPS/47
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · JäPS/47 1533 · ToTe/Tapio 1422
JäPS/47DrawToTe/Tapio
Our model75%14%11%
Market85%9%6%
Estimated total (ours) 4.66 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 85%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours JäPS/47 (rating 1533 vs 1422).
  • High corners: 12.5 combined avg.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

JäPS/47ToTe/Tapio
Goals for / against (FT)2.4 / 1.61.3 / 3
Goals for / against (HT)1.6 / 0.40.9 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)71/14/14%11/22/67%
Corners (HT / FT)3.9 / 7.92.6 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3 / 0.14.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · JäPS/47 100 ToTe/Tapio

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DateHomeScoreAway
08/05/26
Finland Kolmonen
ToTe/Tapio1-3
HT 1-3
JäPS/47

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 3

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FC Futura 151311 511240
2 Sibbov 11812 332125
3 RiPS 14815 302425
4 FC Lahti II 13652 231723
5 JäPS/47 12633 281921
6 Atlantis II 13535 272518
7 TuPS 14518 272216
8 Gnistan/Ogeli 13436 193015
9 Ponnistus 14338 203812
10 ToTe/Tapio 13139 16396
11 TiPS U21 141211 13405

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentJäPS/47ToTe/Tapio
FC Lahti II 3-3 D 0-1 L
Gnistan/Ogeli 3-1 W 1-5 L
Atlantis II 3-2 W 1-6 L
TiPS U21 4-0 W 1-1 D
FC Futura 0-1 L 1-2 L
Ponnistus 4-1 W 2-2 D
RiPS 2-4 L 1-5 L
TuPS 2-3 L 3-1 W
Record vs common 4 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: JäPS/47 (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

JäPS/47

DWLLWLWWWD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
3-3 D
22/07 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 3-1 132 W
24/06 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
2-0 3-2 57 W
11/06 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 4-0 61 W
03/06 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 L
31/05 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
4-1 W
22/05 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
2-1 2-4 83 L
17/05 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-0 2-3 21 L
08/05 ToTe/Tapio
Finland Kolmonen
3-1 3-1 146 W
03/05 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
0-0 0-0 72 D

ToTe/Tapio

LLLDDLLWLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
07/08 FC Futura
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 L
01/08 Sibbov
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 2-4 54 L
24/07 TuPS
Finland Kolmonen
3-0 3-1 36 W
04/07 RiPS
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-5 81 L
12/06 Atlantis II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 1-6 53 L
03/06 Ponnistus
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 2-2 64 D
28/05 TiPS U21
Finland Kolmonen
1-1 1-1 25 D
24/05 FC Lahti II
Finland Kolmonen
0-1 0-1 55 L
15/05 Gnistan/Ogeli
Finland Kolmonen
1-2 1-5 L
08/05 JäPS/47
Finland Kolmonen
1-3 1-3 36 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in JäPS/47 vs ToTe/Tapio?

According to our model, the most likely result is a JäPS/47 win (80%). Probabilities: JäPS/47 80%, draw 11%, ToTe/Tapio 8%.

How many goals are expected in JäPS/47 vs ToTe/Tapio?

The model expects 4.66 goals (JäPS/47 3.33 · ToTe/Tapio 1.33), with a 53% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in JäPS/47 vs ToTe/Tapio?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 3-1.