Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 17:00

Prediction: Toolon Taisto vs Valtti

Team pages: Toolon Taisto · Valtti

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.79Total

Toolon Taisto1.84

Valtti1.94

1X2

36% 24% 40%

Toolon Taisto Draw Valtti

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Toolon Taisto 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDDDWDWLDD

Valtti 5-0-5 (W-D-L)

WLLLWWWWLL

Head-to-head

Toolon Taisto 0–1–4 Valtti (5 last)

Valtti2-0Toolon Taisto
Toolon Taisto1-1Valtti
Valtti3-0Toolon Taisto
Toolon Taisto1-4Valtti
Valtti5-0Toolon Taisto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Toolon Taisto 1505 · Valtti 1500

	Toolon Taisto	Draw	Valtti
Our model	37%	23%	41%
Market	36%	24%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 3.79 goals · Bet365 line 3.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Valtti: 4-1-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Toolon Taisto	Valtti
Goals for / against (FT)	2.3 / 1.9	2.1 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	1.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/10/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.6	1.7 / 5.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.4 / 0.1	4.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.50

X3.75

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)2.00

2 (0)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.751.95

Under 3.751.85

Diff.: 0.55 · xG: 4.3

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.50 → 2.50	Bet365 2.50
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.1%

Time*	1	X	2
05:03 +2’	2.50	3.75	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Toolon Taisto 0–1–4 Valtti

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	2-0 HT 1-0	Toolon Taisto
08/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	Toolon Taisto	1-1 HT 0-1	Valtti
03/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	3-0 HT 1-0	Toolon Taisto
08/09/22 Finland Kolmonen	Toolon Taisto	1-4 HT 1-2	Valtti
03/06/22 Finland Kolmonen	Valtti	5-0 HT 1-0	Toolon Taisto

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	12	9	1	2	32	12	28
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	13	9	1	3	31	21	28
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	13	7	4	2	46	20	25
4	Valtti	12	7	0	5	25	24	21
5	LPS Helsinki	11	6	1	4	30	26	19
6	VJS Vantaa II	13	5	2	6	43	25	17
7	Tips Vantaa	12	5	1	6	27	31	16
8	HPS II	13	4	3	6	32	34	15
9	Atlantis FC/PM	13	4	2	7	28	50	14
10	Toolon Taisto	12	2	7	3	23	25	13
11	FC Kontu	13	3	4	6	24	33	13
12	PPS	13	1	0	12	12	52	3

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Toolon Taisto	Valtti
MPS/Atletico Malmi	2-2 D	2-1 W
Tips Vantaa	1-1 D	2-3 L
ToTe	1-4 L	0-2 L
VJS Vantaa II	3-1 W	4-3 W
HPS II	2-2 D	3-1 W
PPS	5-0 W	3-0 W
FC Kontu	3-3 D	1-0 W
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-2 D	3-7 L
LPS Helsinki	2-2 D	2-3 L
Record vs common	2 W 6 D 1 L	5 W 0 D 4 L

Better against common opponents: Toolon Taisto (5 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Toolon Taisto

DDDDWDWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-0	2-2	8	3	D
23/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-1	2	2	D
03/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-2	1-4	5	5	L
24/06	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	3-0	3-1	9	9	W
11/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-2	3	5	D
07/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	5-0	7	4	W
28/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-3	2	4	D
21/05	Atlantis FC/PM Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	2	5	D
07/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	4	4	D

Valtti

WLLLWWWWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
29/07	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	6	6	L
24/07	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-2	7	3	L
05/07	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-2	4-3	5	4	W
26/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	2-1	2-1	2	11	W
12/06	PPS Finland Kolmonen	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
05/06	HPS II Finland Kolmonen	0-1	3-1	4	0	W
29/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	0-2	2-3	8	4	L
24/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	1	6	L
21/05	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	3-7	4	4	L
15/05	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-0	1-0	7	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Toolon Taisto vs Valtti?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Valtti win (40%). Probabilities: Toolon Taisto 36%, draw 24%, Valtti 40%.

How many goals are expected in Toolon Taisto vs Valtti?

The model expects 3.79 goals (Toolon Taisto 1.84 · Valtti 1.94), with a 52% chance of under 3.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Toolon Taisto vs Valtti?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.