Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 19:00

Prediction: PPJ/Ruoholahti vs HooGee

Team pages: PPJ/Ruoholahti · HooGee

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.09Total

PPJ/Ruoholahti2.3

HooGee1.79

1X2

49% 21% 30%

PPJ/Ruoholahti Draw HooGee

Markets

Under 4.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 62%

Most likely score

2-1

Recent form · 10 last

PPJ/Ruoholahti 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DWLDWLLWLL

HooGee 2-0-8 (W-D-L)

LLWWLLLLLL

Head-to-head

PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–2–1 HooGee (3 last)

HooGee2-2PPJ/Ruoholahti
PPJ/Ruoholahti0-0HooGee
HooGee3-2PPJ/Ruoholahti

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · PPJ/Ruoholahti 1475 · HooGee 1423

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	Draw	HooGee
Our model	49%	21%	30%
Market	49%	21%	30%

Estimated total (ours) 4.09 goals · Bet365 line 4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 73%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours PPJ/Ruoholahti (rating 1475 vs 1423).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	PPJ/Ruoholahti	HooGee
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 2	1.6 / 3.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.9	0.7 / 1.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/67/33%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.2	2.7 / 4.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.3 / 0.1	2.6 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.83

X4.20

23.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.90

2 (+0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 41.85

Under 41.95

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 4.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
05:04 +2’	1.83	4.20	3.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · PPJ/Ruoholahti 0–2–1 HooGee

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Date	Home	Score	Away
28/04/26 Finland Kolmonen	HooGee	2-2 HT 1-0	PPJ/Ruoholahti
08/08/24 Finland Kolmonen	PPJ/Ruoholahti	0-0 HT 0-0	HooGee
02/05/24 Finland Kolmonen	HooGee	3-2 HT 2-1	PPJ/Ruoholahti

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 1

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	EIF Academy	13	10	1	2	52	20	31
2	ESPA	13	10	1	2	33	11	31
3	LePa	13	7	2	4	26	22	23
4	NuPS	13	6	4	3	26	17	22
5	Poxyt	13	7	1	5	29	28	22
6	LoPa	13	6	1	6	20	20	19
7	Gilla FC	13	5	2	6	28	28	17
8	MPS	13	3	3	7	12	22	12
9	PPJ/Ruoholahti	13	3	3	7	18	34	12
10	EPS Reservi	13	3	3	7	20	39	12
11	GrIFK Reservi	13	3	2	8	21	28	11
12	HooGee	13	3	1	9	21	37	10

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	PPJ/Ruoholahti	HooGee
ESPA	0-1 L	0-3 L
EIF Academy	0-4 L	2-4 L
EPS Reservi	5-1 W	2-6 L
NuPS	1-6 L	3-4 L
LePa	1-3 L	1-3 L
LoPa	3-0 W	2-1 W
MPS	0-0 D	0-2 L
Poxyt	0-3 L	1-2 L
Gilla FC	2-1 W	3-6 L
GrIFK Reservi	1-1 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	3 W 2 D 5 L	2 W 0 D 8 L

Better against common opponents: PPJ/Ruoholahti (5 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

PPJ/Ruoholahti

DWLDWLLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-1	1	4	L
27/07	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	0-2	0-4	5	1	L
03/07	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	5-1	4	3	W
25/06	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-6	2	1	L
10/06	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	10	4	L
04/06	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	0-0	3-0	4	6	W
28/05	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-0	4	0	D
22/05	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	0-0	0-3	4	1	L
13/05	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W
07/05	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-1	4	2	D

HooGee

LLWWLLLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	NuPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-4	1	4	L
23/07	Poxyt Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-2	6	4	L
01/07	Gilla FC Finland Kolmonen	2-3	3-6	7	1	L
25/06	EIF Academy Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-4	4	1	L
12/06	ESPA Finland Kolmonen	0-3	0-3	1	3	L
05/06	MPS Finland Kolmonen	0-1	0-2	5	3	L
29/05	LoPa Finland Kolmonen	1-0	2-1	5	4	W
21/05	GrIFK Reservi Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-1	2	5	W
17/05	EPS Reservi Finland Kolmonen	0-3	2-6	8	3	L
06/05	LePa Finland Kolmonen	0-1	1-3	5	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs HooGee?

According to our model, the most likely result is a PPJ/Ruoholahti win (49%). Probabilities: PPJ/Ruoholahti 49%, draw 21%, HooGee 30%.

How many goals are expected in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs HooGee?

The model expects 4.09 goals (PPJ/Ruoholahti 2.3 · HooGee 1.79), with a 50% chance of over 4 goals.

Will both teams score in PPJ/Ruoholahti vs HooGee?

The model gives a 62% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-1.