Football · Finland Kolmonen · 05/08, 18:00

Prediction: Atlantis FC/PM vs HPS II

Team pages: Atlantis FC/PM · HPS II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

4.73Total

Atlantis FC/PM2.35

HPS II2.38

1X2

39% 21% 40%

Atlantis FC/PM Draw HPS II

Markets

Over 4.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 65%

Most likely score

2-2

Recent form · 10 last

Atlantis FC/PM 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

WWDLLLWLWL

HPS II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

WLWWLDLLDL

Head-to-head

Atlantis FC/PM 0–1 HPS II (1 last)

HPS II4-2Atlantis FC/PM

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Atlantis FC/PM 1461 · HPS II 1484

	Atlantis FC/PM	Draw	HPS II
Our model	40%	20%	40%
Market	39%	21%	40%

Estimated total (ours) 4.73 goals · Bet365 line 4.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 87%model estimate

Match keys

High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Atlantis FC/PM	HPS II
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 3.8	2.4 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 1.8	1.3 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	25/25/50%	44/11/44%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.6 / 4.4	2.4 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.2 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X4.20

22.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.93

2 (0)1.88

Line ⓘ

Over 4.751.82

Under 4.751.98

Diff.: 0.6 · xG: 5.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	2.25 → 2.25	Bet365 2.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
04:57 +8’	2.30	4.20	2.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Atlantis FC/PM 0–0–1 HPS II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Finland Kolmonen	HPS II	4-2	Atlantis FC/PM

Standings · Finland Kolmonen · Kolmonen 2026, Southern, Group 2

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	ToTe	12	9	1	2	32	12	28
2	MPS/Atletico Malmi	13	9	1	3	31	21	28
3	PPJ/Lauttasaari	13	7	4	2	46	20	25
4	Valtti	12	7	0	5	25	24	21
5	LPS Helsinki	11	6	1	4	30	26	19
6	VJS Vantaa II	13	5	2	6	43	25	17
7	Tips Vantaa	12	5	1	6	27	31	16
8	HPS II	13	4	3	6	32	34	15
9	Atlantis FC/PM	13	4	2	7	28	50	14
10	Toolon Taisto	12	2	7	3	23	25	13
11	FC Kontu	13	3	4	6	24	33	13
12	PPS	13	1	0	12	12	52	3

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Atlantis FC/PM	HPS II
VJS Vantaa II	1-10 L	1-2 L
FC Kontu	3-2 W	2-3 L
PPJ/Lauttasaari	2-6 L	3-3 D
Tips Vantaa	4-2 W	5-1 W
MPS/Atletico Malmi	1-6 L	1-2 L
LPS Helsinki	1-4 L	4-3 W
PPS	2-3 L	3-2 W
Toolon Taisto	2-2 D	2-2 D
ToTe	3-2 W	2-3 L
Valtti	2-1 W	1-3 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 5 L	3 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: HPS II (6 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Atlantis FC/PM

WWDLLLWLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	0-4	1-10	1	2	L
23/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	1-1	3-2	1	4	W
30/06	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-6	3	0	L
25/06	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	4-0	4-2	8	5	W
12/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	–	1-6	–	–	L
05/06	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	1-3	1-4	4	2	L
27/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	1-1	2-3	6	2	L
21/05	Toolon Taisto Finland Kolmonen	1-2	2-2	4	4	D
15/05	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-0	3-2	8	4	W
09/05	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	–	2-1	–	–	W

HPS II

WLWWLDLLDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	FC Kontu Finland Kolmonen	0-1	2-3	6	2	L
26/07	PPJ/Lauttasaari Finland Kolmonen	3-2	3-3	7	3	D
25/06	ToTe Finland Kolmonen	1-3	2-3	5	5	L
16/06	MPS/Atletico Malmi Finland Kolmonen	0-2	1-2	3	6	L
11/06	Toolon Taisto Finland Kolmonen	2-0	2-2	4	5	D
05/06	Valtti Finland Kolmonen	1-0	1-3	8	0	L
28/05	Tips Vantaa Finland Kolmonen	2-1	5-1	5	4	W
22/05	LPS Helsinki Finland Kolmonen	2-3	4-3	8	3	W
14/05	VJS Vantaa II Finland Kolmonen	1-1	1-2	11	1	L
08/05	PPS Finland Kolmonen	–	3-2	–	–	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Atlantis FC/PM vs HPS II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an HPS II win (40%). Probabilities: Atlantis FC/PM 39%, draw 21%, HPS II 40%.

How many goals are expected in Atlantis FC/PM vs HPS II?

The model expects 4.73 goals (Atlantis FC/PM 2.35 · HPS II 2.38), with a 51% chance of under 4.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Atlantis FC/PM vs HPS II?

The model gives a 65% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-2.