Football · China Division 2 · 05/08, 13:30

Prediction: Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Team pages: Wenzhou FC · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.96Total

Wenzhou FC0.67

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1.29

1X2

19% 30% 51%

Wenzhou FC Draw Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 54%

Most likely score

0-1

Recent form · 10 last

Wenzhou FC 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWWWLDLDD

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 7-1-2 (W-D-L)

WWWWDLLWWW

Head-to-head

Wenzhou FC 1–2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (3 last)

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1-0Wenzhou FC
Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic1-0Wenzhou FC
Wenzhou FC3-0Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Wenzhou FC 1482 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1565

	Wenzhou FC	Draw	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Our model	18%	32%	50%
Market	20%	28%	52%

Estimated total (ours) 1.96 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (rating 1482 vs 1565).
H2H favours Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic: 2-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 6.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Wenzhou FC	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.1	1.8 / 0.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.5 / 0.6	0.7 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/40/30%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.4 / 6.1	1.2 / 3.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.1	3.3 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

14.50

X3.20

21.73

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.75)1.77

2 (-0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.88

Under 21.93

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 2.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:07

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.50 → 4.50	Bet365 4.50
X	3.20 → 3.20	Bet365 3.20
2	1.73 → 1.73	Bet365 1.73

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
02:55 +12’	4.50	3.20	1.73

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Wenzhou FC 1–0–2 Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	1-0 HT 0-0	Wenzhou FC
28/06/25 China Division 2	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	1-0 HT 0-0	Wenzhou FC
12/04/25 China Division 2	Wenzhou FC	3-0 HT 2-0	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group South

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic	18	12	1	5	27	13	37
2	Shenzhen 2028	19	9	6	4	30	23	33
3	Hubei Istar	18	8	7	3	26	18	31
4	Ganzhou Ruishi	19	6	8	5	18	19	26
5	Jiangxi Lushan	18	7	5	6	21	17	26
6	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	19	5	10	4	19	25	25
7	Xiamen Feilu	19	6	7	6	27	26	25
8	Guangdong Mingtu	19	4	10	5	19	19	22
9	Guangzhou Dandelion	19	5	5	9	19	27	20
10	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	19	4	6	9	15	21	18
11	Wenzhou FC	18	3	8	7	12	20	17
12	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	19	3	7	9	16	21	16

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Wenzhou FC	Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic
Jiangxi Lushan	1-1 D	1-2 L
Guangzhou Dandelion	0-0 D	2-0 W
Hubei Istar	1-2 L	0-2 L
Hangzhou Linping Wuyue	0-0 D	7-0 W
Ganzhou Ruishi	0-1 L	3-0 W
Wuhan Three Towns Reserves	2-1 W	1-0 W
Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves	2-1 W	2-1 W
Xiamen Feilu	1-0 W	1-0 W
Shenzhen 2028	0-4 L	1-0 W
Guangdong Mingtu	1-1 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 3 L	7 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic (4 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Wenzhou FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	1-1	1-1	1	2	D
25/07	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	9	2	D
18/07	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	1-2	16	2	L
05/07	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
28/06	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	0-1	0-1	10	4	L
24/06	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-1	1	3	W
20/06	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-1	6	4	W
13/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	4	W
26/05	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-1	0-4	4	3	L
22/05	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	1-1	1-1	2	4	D

Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Shenzhen 2028 China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
25/07	Ganzhou Ruishi China Division 2	2-0	3-0	8	1	W
19/07	Wuhan Three Towns Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
05/07	Jiangxi Lushan China Division 2	0-1	1-2	6	6	L
27/06	Hubei Istar China Division 2	0-2	0-2	6	8	L
23/06	Guangdong Mingtu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	3	5	D
19/06	Xiamen Feilu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	3	3	W
14/06	Guangzhou Dandelion China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	1	W
26/05	Chengdu Rongcheng Reserves China Division 2	0-0	2-1	1	1	W
22/05	Hangzhou Linping Wuyue China Division 2	3-0	7-0	2	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic win (51%). Probabilities: Wenzhou FC 19%, draw 30%, Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 51%.

How many goals are expected in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model expects 1.96 goals (Wenzhou FC 0.67 · Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic 1.29), with a 53% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Wenzhou FC vs Guizhou Zhucheng Athletic?

The model gives a 54% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.