Football · China Division 2 · 15/08, 13:00
Prediction: Beijing Institute vs Changchun Xidu
Team pages: Beijing Institute · Changchun Xidu
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.06Total
Beijing Institute1.08
Changchun Xidu0.97
1X2
Beijing Institute
Draw
Changchun Xidu
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 66%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Beijing Institute
1-2-7 (W-D-L)
Changchun Xidu
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Beijing Institute
0–1–2
Changchun Xidu
(3 last)
- Changchun Xidu0-0Beijing Institute
- Changchun Xidu1-0Beijing Institute
- Beijing Institute0-1Changchun Xidu
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Beijing Institute 1422 · Changchun Xidu 1455
| Beijing Institute | Draw | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 33% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 28% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.06 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Changchun Xidu: 2-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Beijing Institute | Changchun Xidu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.3 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 1.2 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/50/50% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.1 | 1 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Beijing Institute 0–1–2 Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/05/26 China Division 2 | Changchun Xidu | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 07/06/25 China Division 2 | Changchun Xidu | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Beijing Institute |
| 30/03/25 China Division 2 | Beijing Institute | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Changchun Xidu |
Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shandong Taishan Reserves | 20 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 18 | 40 |
| 2 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 20 | 12 | 3 | 5 | 29 | 16 | 39 |
| 3 | Shanghai Port Reserves | 20 | 11 | 4 | 5 | 34 | 18 | 37 |
| 4 | Dalian Kewei | 20 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 20 | 12 | 34 |
| 5 | Tai'an Tiankuang | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 20 | 30 |
| 6 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 20 | 5 | 10 | 5 | 17 | 18 | 25 |
| 7 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 20 | 3 | 13 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 22 |
| 8 | Nantong Haimen Codion | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 20 | 21 |
| 9 | Qingdao Red Lions | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 20 | 17 | 21 |
| 10 | Changchun Xidu | 20 | 2 | 10 | 8 | 11 | 25 | 16 |
| 11 | Shanghai Segenda | 20 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 35 | 14 |
| 12 | Beijing Institute | 20 | 2 | 6 | 12 | 15 | 37 | 12 |
Common opponents 10 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Beijing Institute | Changchun Xidu |
|---|---|---|
| Shanghai Segenda | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Shanxi Chongde Ronghai | 0-2 L | 1-2 L |
| Nantong Haimen Codion | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Qingdao Red Lions | 1-6 L | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Kewei | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| Shanghai Port Reserves | 1-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Tai'an Tiankuang | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Shandong Taishan Reserves | 1-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Dalian Young Boy Reserves | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 7 L | 1 W 5 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Changchun Xidu (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Beijing Institute
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/08 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 01/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 29/07 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-2 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-3 | 1-6 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 18/07 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 04/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
1-4 | 1-5 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 28/06 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 24/06 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/06 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 7 | D |
Changchun Xidu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 9 | L |
| 05/08 | Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | Shanghai Segenda China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 25/07 | Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2 |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 1 | D |
| 18/07 | Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2 |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 27/06 | Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 23/06 | Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2 |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 5 | D |
| 13/06 | Dalian Kewei China Division 2 |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2 |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Beijing Institute vs Changchun Xidu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Beijing Institute win (38%). Probabilities: Beijing Institute 38%, draw 30%, Changchun Xidu 32%.
How many goals are expected in Beijing Institute vs Changchun Xidu?
The model expects 2.06 goals (Beijing Institute 1.08 · Changchun Xidu 0.97), with a 56% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Beijing Institute vs Changchun Xidu?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.