Football · China Division 2 · 15/08, 13:30

Prediction: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves

Team pages: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic · Shanghai Port Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.32Total

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic0.97

Shanghai Port Reserves1.35

1X2

26% 29% 44%

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic Draw Shanghai Port Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 2-7-1 (W-D-L)

DDLDWDDDWD

Shanghai Port Reserves 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

DLDLWWLWLL

Head-to-head

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1–1–1 Shanghai Port Reserves (3 last)

Shanghai Port Reserves1-0Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Shanghai Port Reserves1-2Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic1-1Shanghai Port Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1503 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1490

	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Draw	Shanghai Port Reserves
Our model	26%	30%	44%
Market	26%	29%	45%

Estimated total (ours) 2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Shanghai Port Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 0.9	1.6 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.3	0.6 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	20/20/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.2 / 4.4	1.4 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0.2	2.4 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.40

X3.10

22.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.252.00

Under 2.251.80

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:26

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.40 → 3.40	Bet365 3.40
X	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
2	2.00 → 2.00	Bet365 2.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.7%

Time*	1	X	2
03:12 +14’	3.40	3.10	2.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 1–1–1 Shanghai Port Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	1-0 HT 1-0	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
26/07/25 China Division 2	Shanghai Port Reserves	1-2 HT 1-1	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic
17/05/25 China Division 2	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	1-1 HT 1-0	Shanghai Port Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	20	12	4	4	31	18	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	20	12	3	5	29	16	39
3	Shanghai Port Reserves	20	11	4	5	34	18	37
4	Dalian Kewei	20	8	10	2	20	12	34
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	20	8	6	6	23	20	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	20	5	10	5	17	18	25
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	20	3	13	4	12	16	22
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	20	2	10	8	11	25	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	20	2	8	10	20	35	14
12	Beijing Institute	20	2	6	12	15	37	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	Shanghai Port Reserves
Dalian Kewei	2-2 D	0-1 L
Beijing Institute	1-0 W	5-1 W
Qingdao Red Lions	0-0 D	1-2 L
Tai'an Tiankuang	2-2 D	2-3 L
Shanghai Segenda	2-2 D	1-1 D
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 D	2-2 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	1-3 L	1-3 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	0-0 D	2-1 W
Changchun Xidu	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	1 W 7 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic

DDLDWDDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	2-0	2-2	1	4	D
05/08	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	1	W
01/08	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
29/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-0	2-2	5	3	D
25/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	2-2	6	2	D
22/07	Shaanxi Union China FA Cup	0-0	2-0	4	4	W
19/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	2	2	D
04/07	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-2	1-3	6	3	L
27/06	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
23/06	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	5	D

Shanghai Port Reserves

DLDLWWLWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-3	1-3	4	3	L
05/08	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-1	8	3	L
01/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-1	2-1	4	1	W
26/07	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	1-1	2-3	3	1	L
18/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	2-0	0	6	W
04/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	4-1	5-1	9	1	W
27/06	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-0	0-1	2	1	L
23/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	2-2	3	3	D
14/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-1	1-2	4	3	L
06/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	5	3	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Shanghai Port Reserves win (44%). Probabilities: Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 26%, draw 29%, Shanghai Port Reserves 44%.

How many goals are expected in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model expects 2.32 goals (Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic 0.97 · Shanghai Port Reserves 1.35), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic vs Shanghai Port Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.