Football · China Division 2 · 15/08, 13:00

Prediction: Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Team pages: Shandong Taishan Reserves · Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.26Total

Shandong Taishan Reserves1.5

Dalian Young Boy Reserves0.76

1X2

55% 27% 19%

Shandong Taishan Reserves Draw Dalian Young Boy Reserves

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 56% Not both to score 51%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Shandong Taishan Reserves 7-3-0 (W-D-L)

DWWWWWWDDW

Dalian Young Boy Reserves 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DWWDDLLLWD

Head-to-head

Shandong Taishan Reserves 0–1 Dalian Young Boy Reserves (1 last)

Dalian Young Boy Reserves2-0Shandong Taishan Reserves

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Shandong Taishan Reserves 1578 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 1508

	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Draw	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Our model	54%	29%	18%
Market	56%	25%	20%

Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Shandong Taishan Reserves (rating 1578 vs 1508).
High corners: 12.7 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 5.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Goals for / against (FT)	1.7 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.2	0.4 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/50/10%	20/50/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.7 / 6.4	3.2 / 6.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0.2	3.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.61

X3.60

24.60

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.80

2 (+0.75)2.00

Line ⓘ

Over 2.52.00

Under 2.51.80

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 05:40

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	4.60 → 4.60	Bet365 4.60

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
05:39 +1’	1.61	3.60	4.60

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Shandong Taishan Reserves 0–0–1 Dalian Young Boy Reserves

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Date	Home	Score	Away
27/05/26 China Division 2	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-0 HT 1-0	Shandong Taishan Reserves

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	20	12	4	4	31	18	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	20	12	3	5	29	16	39
3	Shanghai Port Reserves	20	11	4	5	34	18	37
4	Dalian Kewei	20	8	10	2	20	12	34
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	20	8	6	6	23	20	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	20	5	10	5	17	18	25
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	20	3	13	4	12	16	22
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	20	2	10	8	11	25	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	20	2	8	10	20	35	14
12	Beijing Institute	20	2	6	12	15	37	12

Common opponents 10 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Shandong Taishan Reserves	Dalian Young Boy Reserves
Shanghai Port Reserves	3-1 W	1-2 L
Dalian Kewei	2-2 D	0-2 L
Changchun Xidu	1-1 D	1-0 W
Shanghai Segenda	2-1 W	2-1 W
Qingdao Red Lions	1-0 W	0-0 D
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	3-1 W	0-0 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	1-0 W	1-2 L
Beijing Institute	3-1 W	1-1 D
Tai'an Tiankuang	1-0 W	0-0 D
Nantong Haimen Codion	0-0 D	2-1 W
Record vs common	7 W 3 D 0 L	3 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Shandong Taishan Reserves (7 of 10 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Shandong Taishan Reserves

DWWWWWWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	3-0	3-1	8	3	W
02/08	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	2-2	9	1	D
25/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-0	1-1	1	1	D
18/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	7	2	W
12/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	6	2	W
04/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	2-0	3-1	2	3	W
28/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-0	1-0	14	2	W
24/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-0	3-1	9	2	W
20/06	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	1-0	3	5	W
13/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-0	0-0	5	3	D

Dalian Young Boy Reserves

DWWDDLLLWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Tai'an Tiankuang China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
05/08	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	1-0	1-0	4	3	W
01/08	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-0	1-2	6	1	L
25/07	Dalian Kewei China Division 2	0-1	0-2	8	2	L
19/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	1-2	11	2	L
05/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	8	3	D
27/06	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	3	D
23/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	1-1	2-1	5	4	W
19/06	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	1	3	W
13/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	8	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Shandong Taishan Reserves win (55%). Probabilities: Shandong Taishan Reserves 55%, draw 27%, Dalian Young Boy Reserves 19%.

How many goals are expected in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Shandong Taishan Reserves 1.5 · Dalian Young Boy Reserves 0.76), with a 56% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Shandong Taishan Reserves vs Dalian Young Boy Reserves?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.