Football · China Division 2 · 15/08, 10:00

Prediction: Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang

Team pages: Dalian Kewei · Tai'an Tiankuang

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.21Total

Dalian Kewei1.53

Tai'an Tiankuang0.67

1X2

57% 27% 16%

Dalian Kewei Draw Tai'an Tiankuang

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 62% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Dalian Kewei 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DWWLDWLWDD

Tai'an Tiankuang 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

DLLDLWWDLD

Head-to-head

Dalian Kewei 0–1 Tai'an Tiankuang (1 last)

Tai'an Tiankuang2-1Dalian Kewei

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Dalian Kewei 1533 · Tai'an Tiankuang 1488

	Dalian Kewei	Draw	Tai'an Tiankuang
Our model	57%	28%	15%
Market	58%	26%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.21 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Dalian Kewei (rating 1533 vs 1488).
High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Dalian Kewei	Tai'an Tiankuang
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.6	0.3 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	10/50/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	3.5 / 6.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0.1	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.50

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.05

2 (+1)1.75

Line ⓘ

Over 21.98

Under 21.82

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.2

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 03:21

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
03:19 +2’	1.55	3.50	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Dalian Kewei 0–0–1 Tai'an Tiankuang

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 China Division 2	Tai'an Tiankuang	2-1 HT 2-1	Dalian Kewei

Standings · China Division 2 · China League 2 2026, Group North

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Shandong Taishan Reserves	20	12	4	4	31	18	40
2	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	20	12	3	5	29	16	39
3	Shanghai Port Reserves	20	11	4	5	34	18	37
4	Dalian Kewei	20	8	10	2	20	12	34
5	Tai'an Tiankuang	20	8	6	6	23	20	30
6	Dalian Young Boy Reserves	20	5	10	5	17	18	25
7	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	20	3	13	4	12	16	22
8	Nantong Haimen Codion	19	4	9	6	20	20	21
9	Qingdao Red Lions	19	4	9	6	20	17	21
10	Changchun Xidu	20	2	10	8	11	25	16
11	Shanghai Segenda	20	2	8	10	20	35	14
12	Beijing Institute	20	2	6	12	15	37	12

Common opponents 9 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Dalian Kewei	Tai'an Tiankuang
Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic	2-2 D	2-2 D
Shandong Taishan Reserves	2-2 D	0-1 L
Dalian Young Boy Reserves	2-0 W	0-0 D
Beijing Institute	1-0 W	1-1 D
Shanghai Segenda	1-1 D	0-0 D
Shanxi Chongde Ronghai	0-2 L	2-3 L
Nantong Haimen Codion	2-1 W	1-2 L
Shanghai Port Reserves	1-0 W	3-2 W
Qingdao Red Lions	0-0 D	1-0 W
Record vs common	4 W 4 D 1 L	2 W 4 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Dalian Kewei (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Dalian Kewei

DWWLDWLWDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
09/08	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-2	2-2	5	4	D
02/08	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-2	2	1	D
25/07	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	1-0	2-0	2	2	W
21/07	Beijing Guoan China FA Cup	0-1	1-2	1	0	L
18/07	Beijing Institute China Division 2	0-0	1-0	12	3	W
12/07	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-1	1-1	11	2	D
08/07	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-1	0-2	6	4	L
04/07	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-1	2-1	2	6	W
27/06	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	0-0	1-0	6	1	W
23/06	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	3	D

Tai'an Tiankuang

DLLDLWWDLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/08	Dalian Young Boy Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
02/08	Nantong Haimen Codion China Division 2	0-2	1-2	10	3	L
29/07	Lanzhou Longyuan Athletic China Division 2	0-1	2-2	5	3	D
26/07	Shanghai Port Reserves China Division 2	1-1	3-2	7	1	W
19/07	Qingdao Red Lions China Division 2	1-0	1-0	7	5	W
05/07	Changchun Xidu China Division 2	0-1	0-1	6	7	L
28/06	Beijing Institute China Division 2	1-1	1-1	7	2	D
24/06	Shanxi Chongde Ronghai China Division 2	0-2	2-3	6	4	L
20/06	Shandong Taishan Reserves China Division 2	0-0	0-1	7	5	L
13/06	Shanghai Segenda China Division 2	0-0	0-0	4	5	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Dalian Kewei win (57%). Probabilities: Dalian Kewei 57%, draw 27%, Tai'an Tiankuang 16%.

How many goals are expected in Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model expects 2.21 goals (Dalian Kewei 1.53 · Tai'an Tiankuang 0.67), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Dalian Kewei vs Tai'an Tiankuang?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.