Football · Azerbaijan Premier League · 04/09, 16:00

Prediction: FK Gabala vs Imisli

Team pages: FK Gabala · Imisli

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.1Total
FK Gabala1.25
Imisli0.85
1X2
45% 31% 25%
FK Gabala Draw Imisli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 65% Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
FK Gabala 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
LLDLDWWLLD
Imisli 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WWLWDLDDLW
Head-to-head
FK Gabala 2–2–2 Imisli (6 last)
  • FK Gabala0-1Imisli
  • FK Gabala3-2Imisli
  • Imisli2-2FK Gabala
  • Imisli1-0FK Gabala
  • Imisli1-2FK Gabala
  • FK Gabala0-0Imisli
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · FK Gabala 1498 · Imisli 1508
FK GabalaDrawImisli
Our model44%32%24%
Market45%30%25%
Estimated total (ours) 2.1 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FK GabalaImisli
Goals for / against (FT)0.7 / 0.90.6 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.50.3 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.4 / 4.11.5 / 3.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 03.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Gabala 222 Imisli

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DateHomeScoreAway
12/04/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
FK Gabala0-1
HT 0-1
Imisli
30/01/26
Azerbaijan Premier League
FK Gabala3-2
HT 2-1
Imisli
18/10/25
Azerbaijan Premier League
Imisli2-2
HT 0-1
FK Gabala
18/04/25
Azerbaijan Division 1
Imisli1-0
HT 1-0
FK Gabala
13/02/25
Azerbaijan Division 1
Imisli1-2
HT 0-0
FK Gabala
26/10/24
Azerbaijan Division 1
FK Gabala0-0
HT 0-0
Imisli

Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Zira IK 3300 619
2 Neftchi Baku 3201 826
3 FK Qarabag 2200 416
4 Sabah 2200 306
5 PFK Turan Tovuz 3111 114
6 Imisli 3111 234
7 FK Kapaz 2101 123
8 Safa Baku 3102 133
9 Shamakhi FK 3021 132
10 FK Gabala 3012 021
11 Araz FK 3012 061
12 FK Sumqayit 2002 140

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFK GabalaImisli
Safa Baku 0-1 L 1-0 W
FK Karvan 2-1 W 1-1 D
FK Qarabag 1-1 D 0-3 L
Zira IK 0-1 L 1-3 L
Araz FK 1-1 D 0-0 D
FK Sumqayit 0-1 L 0-2 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 3 L 1 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: FK Gabala (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

FK Gabala

LLDLDWWLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 03 D
22/08 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-1 54 L
14/08 PFK Turan Tovuz
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-1 43 L
21/05 Shamakhi FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
3-1 3-1 43 W
15/05 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 2-1 53 W
09/05 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 34 D
03/05 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-1 33 L
25/04 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-1 13 D
19/04 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-1 85 L
12/04 Imisli
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-1 83 L

Imisli

WWLWDLDDLW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/08 Safa Baku
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 1-0 61 W
22/08 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-3 15 L
15/08 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 94 D
24/05 FK Karvan
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 1-1 40 D
16/05 FK Qarabag
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-3 13 L
08/05 Zira IK
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-0 0-0 33 D
02/05 Araz FK
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 22 W
25/04 FK Sumqayit
Azerbaijan Premier League
0-1 0-2 65 L
19/04 FK Kapaz
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 46 W
12/04 FK Gabala
Azerbaijan Premier League
1-0 1-0 23 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in FK Gabala vs Imisli?

According to our model, the most likely result is a FK Gabala win (45%). Probabilities: FK Gabala 45%, draw 31%, Imisli 25%.

How many goals are expected in FK Gabala vs Imisli?

The model expects 2.1 goals (FK Gabala 1.25 · Imisli 0.85), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in FK Gabala vs Imisli?

The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.