Prediction: FK Kapaz vs FK Gabala
Team pages: FK Kapaz · FK Gabala
- FK Kapaz0-2FK Gabala
- FK Gabala3-1FK Kapaz
- FK Kapaz1-0FK Gabala
- FK Gabala3-0FK Kapaz
- FK Gabala0-1FK Kapaz
- FK Kapaz2-1FK Gabala
| FK Kapaz | Draw | FK Gabala | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 33% | 34% |
| Market | 34% | 30% | 35% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Gabala (rating 1427 vs 1518).
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FK Kapaz | FK Gabala | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.6 / 1.7 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.3 | 1.4 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.7 / 0.1 | 3.7 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · FK Kapaz 3–0–3 FK Gabala
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Kapaz | 0-2 HT 0-0 | FK Gabala |
| 10/01/26 Europe Friendlies | FK Gabala | 3-1 HT 2-0 | FK Kapaz |
| 14/12/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Kapaz | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FK Gabala |
| 20/09/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Gabala | 3-0 HT 1-0 | FK Kapaz |
| 28/04/24 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Gabala | 0-1 HT 0-1 | FK Kapaz |
| 23/02/24 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Kapaz | 2-1 HT 1-1 | FK Gabala |
Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Sabah | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | FK Qarabag | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Zira IK | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | PFK Turan Tovuz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Shamakhi FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | FK Gabala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Imisli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | FK Kapaz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Araz FK | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Sumqayit | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | FK Kapaz | FK Gabala |
|---|---|---|
| Shamakhi FK | 1-4 L | 0-0 D |
| PFK Turan Tovuz | 1-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Araz FK | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| FK Sumqayit | 2-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Imisli | 0-1 L | 2-1 W |
| FK Karvan | 1-4 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Gabala (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FK Kapaz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 2 | 10 | L |
| 30/08 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 15/08 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 8 | L |
| 15/05 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 08/05 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/05 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 19/04 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 10/04 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 4 | L |
FK Gabala
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/09 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 29/08 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 3 | D |
| 22/08 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 21/05 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
3-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 15/05 | FK Karvan Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Qarabag Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 03/05 | Zira IK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 25/04 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 3 | D |
| 19/04 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FK Kapaz vs FK Gabala?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Gabala win (35%). Probabilities: FK Kapaz 34%, draw 31%, FK Gabala 35%.
How many goals are expected in FK Kapaz vs FK Gabala?
The model expects 2.11 goals (FK Kapaz 1.04 · FK Gabala 1.06), with a 55% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in FK Kapaz vs FK Gabala?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.