Prediction: Zira IK vs FK Qarabag
Team pages: Zira IK · FK Qarabag
- Zira IK1-3FK Qarabag
- Zira IK1-1FK Qarabag
- FK Qarabag1-1Zira IK
- FK Qarabag4-0Zira IK
- FK Qarabag1-0Zira IK
- Zira IK3-2FK Qarabag
| Zira IK | Draw | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 30% | 30% | 40% |
| Market | 31% | 28% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours FK Qarabag (rating 1538 vs 1584).
- H2H favours FK Qarabag: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11.3 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zira IK | FK Qarabag | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.2 | 2.3 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zira IK 1–2–3 FK Qarabag
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Azerbaijan Premier League | Zira IK | 1-3 HT 0-1 | FK Qarabag |
| 06/12/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | Zira IK | 1-1 HT 1-1 | FK Qarabag |
| 12/09/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Qarabag | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Zira IK |
| 30/06/25 Europe Friendlies | FK Qarabag | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Zira IK |
| 06/04/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | FK Qarabag | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Zira IK |
| 02/02/25 Azerbaijan Premier League | Zira IK | 3-2 HT 0-2 | FK Qarabag |
Standings · Azerbaijan Premier League
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Neftchi Baku | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 15 | 5 | 12 |
| 2 | Sabah | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 8 | 0 | 9 |
| 3 | FK Qarabag | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 7 | 3 | 9 |
| 4 | Zira IK | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 6 | 9 |
| 5 | PFK Turan Tovuz | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 7 |
| 6 | Shamakhi FK | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 4 | 5 |
| 7 | FK Gabala | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 |
| 8 | Imisli | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 4 |
| 9 | FK Kapaz | 3 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 3 |
| 10 | Safa Baku | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 7 | 3 |
| 11 | Araz FK | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 9 | 1 |
| 12 | FK Sumqayit | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 6 | 0 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zira IK | FK Qarabag |
|---|---|---|
| Sabah | 0-5 L | 0-1 L |
| Neftchi Baku | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Imisli | 3-1 W | 3-0 W |
| Araz FK | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| FK Sumqayit | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Gabala | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| PFK Turan Tovuz | 1-1 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: FK Qarabag (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zira IK
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-3 | 0-5 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 22/08 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Safa Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 17/05 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 08/05 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 03/05 | FK Gabala Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 27/04 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 17/04 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
FK Qarabag
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Araz FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 31/08 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Shamakhi FK Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/05 | FK Sumqayit Azerbaijan Premier League |
2-0 | 4-3 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 16/05 | Imisli Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 09/05 | FK Gabala Azerbaijan Premier League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 04/05 | PFK Turan Tovuz Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/04 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 5 | 8 | L |
| 26/04 | Neftchi Baku Azerbaijan Premier League |
3-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 18/04 | Sabah Azerbaijan Premier League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 5 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zira IK vs FK Qarabag?
According to our model, the most likely result is an FK Qarabag win (40%). Probabilities: Zira IK 31%, draw 29%, FK Qarabag 40%.
How many goals are expected in Zira IK vs FK Qarabag?
The model expects 2.42 goals (Zira IK 1.11 · FK Qarabag 1.31), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Zira IK vs FK Qarabag?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.