Prediction: Fardu Ferghana vs PFC Terdu
Team pages: Fardu Ferghana · PFC Terdu
| Fardu Ferghana | Draw | PFC Terdu | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 74% | 18% | 8% |
| Market | 75% | 16% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Fardu Ferghana (rating 1488 vs 1402).
- Cards-heavy: 8.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Fardu Ferghana | PFC Terdu | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.9 | 0.5 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.9 | 0.3 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 25/25/50% | 17/33/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 6.4 | 1.2 / 2.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0 |
Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FK Orol Nukus | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 29 | 8 | 32 |
| 2 | Shurtan | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 18 | 12 | 26 |
| 3 | Kattaqorgon | 12 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 15 | 7 | 24 |
| 4 | Metallurg Bekabad | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 30 | 11 | 21 |
| 5 | FC Lochin | 12 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 20 | 14 | 21 |
| 6 | Fardu Ferghana | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 16 | 20 | 19 |
| 7 | Olympic Mobiuz | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 14 | 18 |
| 8 | Gazalkent | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 17 | 16 | 18 |
| 9 | Jayxun | 12 | 4 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 14 |
| 10 | FC Yaypan Fergana | 12 | 4 | 1 | 7 | 14 | 23 | 13 |
| 11 | Respublika FA | 12 | 3 | 3 | 6 | 14 | 14 | 12 |
| 12 | BuxDu | 12 | 3 | 1 | 8 | 10 | 26 | 10 |
| 13 | Pakhtakor Tashkent II | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 7 | 29 | 4 |
| 14 | PFC Terdu | 12 | 1 | 1 | 10 | 8 | 25 | 4 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Fardu Ferghana | PFC Terdu |
|---|---|---|
| Kattaqorgon | 0-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Olympic Mobiuz | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| BuxDu | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| Respublika FA | 1-1 D | 2-4 L |
| FK Orol Nukus | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Gazalkent | 2-2 D | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 1 W 0 D 5 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Fardu Ferghana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | FC Yaypan Fergana Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 8 | W |
| 25/07 | FC Lochin Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 08/06 | Metallurg Bekabad Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 0-7 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 04/06 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 29/05 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
2-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 12/05 | Xorazm Urganch Uzbekistan Cup |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 06/05 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 01/05 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 26/04 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 21/04 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
PFC Terdu
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07 | Kattaqorgon Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 24/07 | Olympic Mobiuz Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-1 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 10/06 | BuxDu Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 04/06 | Respublika FA Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-3 | 2-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | FK Orol Nukus Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 17/05 | Jayxun Uzbekistan Cup |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 7 | L |
| 11/05 | FC Bunyodkor Uzbekistan Cup |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 06/05 | Gazalkent Uzbekistan 1st Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 29/04 | Shurtan Uzbekistan 1st Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 25/04 | Jayxun Uzbekistan 1st Division |
– | 0-0 | – | – | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Fardu Ferghana vs PFC Terdu?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Fardu Ferghana win (74%). Probabilities: Fardu Ferghana 74%, draw 17%, PFC Terdu 9%.
How many goals are expected in Fardu Ferghana vs PFC Terdu?
The model expects 2.99 goals (Fardu Ferghana 2.32 · PFC Terdu 0.67), with a 56% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Fardu Ferghana vs PFC Terdu?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.