Prediction: Kattaqorgon vs Jayxun

Team pages: Kattaqorgon · Jayxun

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.58Total
Kattaqorgon1.79
Jayxun0.79
1X2
61% 23% 16%
Kattaqorgon Draw Jayxun
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 50%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Kattaqorgon 5-2-3 (W-D-L)
WDLLDWLWWW
Jayxun 5-1-4 (W-D-L)
WWWLLDLWWL
Head-to-head
Kattaqorgon 1–0 Jayxun (1 last)
  • Jayxun0-2Kattaqorgon
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Kattaqorgon 1542 · Jayxun 1497
KattaqorgonDrawJayxun
Our model60%25%15%
Market62%21%17%
Estimated total (ours) 2.58 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 50%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Kattaqorgon (rating 1542 vs 1497).
  • Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

KattaqorgonJayxun
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 0.81.6 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.40.7 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)25/50/25%44/22/33%
Corners (HT / FT)1 / 3.42 / 3.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.6 / 04.3 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Kattaqorgon 100 Jayxun

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DateHomeScoreAway
06/04/26
Uzbekistan 1st Division
Jayxun0-2Kattaqorgon

Standings · Uzbekistan 1st Division

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 FK Orol Nukus 131120 30835
2 Shurtan 13922 221429
3 Kattaqorgon 13832 17727
4 Fardu Ferghana 13643 212122
5 FC Lochin 13643 201422
6 Gazalkent 13634 241621
7 Olympic Mobiuz 13634 271521
8 Metallurg Bekabad 13634 301221
9 FC Yaypan Fergana 13427 142314
10 Jayxun 13427 152014
11 Respublika FA 13337 142112
12 BuxDu 13319 123010
13 Pakhtakor Tashkent II 131111 7314
14 PFC Terdu 131111 9304

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentKattaqorgonJayxun
Pakhtakor Tashkent II 2-0 W 3-0 W
PFC Terdu 2-0 W 1-0 W
Metallurg Bekabad 1-1 D 2-0 W
Olympic Mobiuz 0-0 D 1-2 L
BuxDu 1-0 W 5-1 W
Record vs common 3 W 2 D 0 L 4 W 0 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Jayxun (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Kattaqorgon

WDLLDWLWWW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/08 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-0 W
30/07 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
2-0 W
25/07 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-1 44 W
09/06 FC Lochin
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 0-2 32 L
04/06 Fardu Ferghana
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 3-0 53 W
31/05 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-1 1-1 12 D
27/05 Pakhtakor Tashkent
Uzbekistan Cup
0-1 0-3 10 L
18/05 FC Yaypan Fergana
Uzbekistan Cup
0-0 0-1 12 L
04/05 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 66 D
30/04 BuxDu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 1-0 62 W

Jayxun

WWWLLDLWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
05/08 Olympic Mobiuz
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-1 1-2 24 L
31/07 BuxDu
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 5-1 27 W
25/07 Respublika FA
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 2-1 14 W
08/06 FK Orol Nukus
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-3 1-4 31 L
03/06 Gazalkent
Uzbekistan 1st Division
0-0 0-0 44 D
30/05 Shurtan
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-2 L
24/05 FC Bunyodkor
Uzbekistan Cup
0-3 0-4 32 L
17/05 PFC Terdu
Uzbekistan Cup
1-0 1-0 67 W
05/05 Metallurg Bekabad
Uzbekistan 1st Division
1-0 2-0 66 W
01/05 Pakhtakor Tashkent II
Uzbekistan 1st Division
3-0 3-0 44 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Kattaqorgon vs Jayxun?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Kattaqorgon win (61%). Probabilities: Kattaqorgon 61%, draw 23%, Jayxun 16%.

How many goals are expected in Kattaqorgon vs Jayxun?

The model expects 2.58 goals (Kattaqorgon 1.79 · Jayxun 0.79), with a 59% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Kattaqorgon vs Jayxun?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.