Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 05/08, 00:30
Prediction: Deportivo Tachira vs Portuguesa
Team pages: Portuguesa
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.33Total
Deportivo Tachira1.64
Portuguesa0.69
1X2
Deportivo Tachira
Draw
Portuguesa
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Deportivo Tachira
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Portuguesa
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Deportivo Tachira
1–3–2
Portuguesa
(6 last)
- Portuguesa1-0Deportivo Tachira
- Portuguesa2-0Deportivo Tachira
- Deportivo Tachira1-1Portuguesa
- Deportivo Tachira2-0Portuguesa
- Portuguesa1-1Deportivo Tachira
- Portuguesa1-1Deportivo Tachira
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Deportivo Tachira 1531 · Portuguesa 1540
| Deportivo Tachira | Draw | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 59% | 26% | 14% |
| Market | 60% | 25% | 15% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.33 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Portuguesa: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 11.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Deportivo Tachira | Portuguesa | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.1 | 1.4 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 4.9 | 0.4 / 2.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 6.5 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Tachira 1–3–2 Portuguesa
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/02/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 14/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 06/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Portuguesa |
| 13/08/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Tachira | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Portuguesa |
| 23/02/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
| 08/11/23 Venezuela Primera Division | Portuguesa | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Deportivo Tachira |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
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| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Trujillanos | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 2 | Zamora | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 |
| 5 | Portuguesa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 6 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Caracas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Deportivo Tachira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 6 | Estudiantes Merida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 | Monagas | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 0 |
| 13 | Carabobo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 | UCV | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Deportivo Tachira | Portuguesa |
|---|---|---|
| Carabobo | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| UCV | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Deportivo La Guaira | 2-3 L | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portuguesa (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Deportivo Tachira
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/07 | Atletico Nacional Medellin America Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 8 | W |
| 24/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 10/05 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/05 | Estudiantes Merida Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 20/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 11/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 2-3 | 1 | 11 | L |
Portuguesa
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/07 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 30/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 24/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 9 | L |
| 17/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 14/05 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-2 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 03/05 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 25/04 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 21/04 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 8 | D |
| 11/04 | Academia Puerto Cabello Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Deportivo Tachira vs Portuguesa?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Tachira win (60%). Probabilities: Deportivo Tachira 60%, draw 26%, Portuguesa 15%.
How many goals are expected in Deportivo Tachira vs Portuguesa?
The model expects 2.33 goals (Deportivo Tachira 1.64 · Portuguesa 0.69), with a 55% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Deportivo Tachira vs Portuguesa?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.