Football · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A · 09/08, 22:00

Prediction: Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC

Team pages: Deportivo Cuenca · Manta FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

1.8Total

Deportivo Cuenca1.32

Manta FC0.47

1X2

58% 28% 14%

Deportivo Cuenca Draw Manta FC

Markets

Over 1.5 goals 55% Not both to score 57%

Most likely score

1-0

Recent form · 10 last

Deportivo Cuenca 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Manta FC 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Deportivo Cuenca 5–1 Manta FC (6 last)

Manta FC0-1Deportivo Cuenca
Manta FC0-1Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca2-0Manta FC
Manta FC1-3Deportivo Cuenca
Deportivo Cuenca1-0Manta FC
Manta FC1-0Deportivo Cuenca

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Deportivo Cuenca 1473 · Manta FC 1405

	Deportivo Cuenca	Draw	Manta FC
Our model	57%	31%	12%
Market	60%	26%	15%

Estimated total (ours) 1.8 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Deportivo Cuenca (rating 1473 vs 1405).
H2H favours Deportivo Cuenca: 5-0-1.
Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Deportivo Cuenca	Manta FC
Goals for / against (FT)	0.4 / 1.4	0.5 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/40/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	0.9 / 4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.3 / 0.4	3.6 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

11.55

X3.60

26.25

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)2.00

2 (+1)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 2.251.93

Under 2.251.88

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 1.9

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.55 → 1.55	Bet365 1.55
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	6.25 → 6.25	Bet365 6.25

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 8.3%

Time*	1	X	2
00:38 +5’	1.55	3.60	6.25

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Deportivo Cuenca 5–0–1 Manta FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
19/04/26 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	0-1 HT 0-1	Deportivo Cuenca
23/08/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	0-1 HT 0-0	Deportivo Cuenca
03/05/25 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	2-0 HT 1-0	Manta FC
22/07/24 Ecuador Cup	Manta FC	1-3 HT 1-3	Deportivo Cuenca
07/08/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Deportivo Cuenca	1-0 HT 0-0	Manta FC
07/03/21 Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	Manta FC	1-0 HT 1-0	Deportivo Cuenca

Standings · Ecuador LigaPro Serie A

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Independiente del Valle	22	18	1	3	55	22	55
2	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador	23	11	6	6	38	19	39
3	SD Aucas	23	11	5	7	26	25	38
4	Macara	22	10	5	7	28	22	35
5	Barcelona Guayaquil	22	9	7	6	23	17	34
6	LDU Quito	22	9	5	8	21	17	32
7	Leones FC	22	8	7	7	23	21	31
8	Deportivo Cuenca	22	9	4	9	21	27	31
9	Club Atletico Libertad	23	8	6	9	24	26	30
10	Guayaquil City	22	7	7	8	19	23	28
11	Mushuc Runa	23	7	7	9	29	34	28
12	Emelec	23	7	7	9	19	28	28
13	Orense	23	7	5	11	27	35	26
14	Tecnico Universitario	23	8	2	13	20	29	26
15	Delfin SC	22	6	5	11	13	21	23
16	Manta FC	23	3	5	15	9	29	14

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Deportivo Cuenca	Manta FC
Independiente del Valle	0-1 L	0-1 L
SD Aucas	0-1 L	1-3 L
Delfin SC	1-0 W	0-1 L
Record vs common	1 W 0 D 2 L	0 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Deportivo Cuenca (2 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Deportivo Cuenca

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
28/07	Emelec Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-0	2-1	12	7	W
22/07	Macara Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-3	3	6	L
18/07	Universidad Catolica del Ecuador Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-2	4	1	L
16/07	Leones FC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
12/07	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-1	5	6	L
05/07	Barcelona Guayaquil Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-2	0-2	5	3	L
02/06	CD La Union Ecuador Cup	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
31/05	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	1-0	10	7	W
27/05	Santos Copa Sudamericana	0-1	0-3	4	6	L

Manta FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Mushuc Runa Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-2	1	4	L
30/07	Independiente del Valle Ecuador Cup	0-0	0-1	1	2	L
26/07	Tecnico Universitario Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	1	7	L
23/07	LDU Quito Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	1-1	10	6	D
19/07	Guayaquil City Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
15/07	Delfin SC Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-1	6	1	L
11/07	Orense Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-0	0-0	4	4	D
04/07	Independiente del Valle Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	0-4	1	4	L
30/05	Club Atletico Libertad Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	0-1	2-1	8	4	W
26/05	SD Aucas Ecuador LigaPro Serie A	1-2	1-3	4	3	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Deportivo Cuenca win (58%). Probabilities: Deportivo Cuenca 58%, draw 28%, Manta FC 14%.

How many goals are expected in Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC?

The model expects 1.8 goals (Deportivo Cuenca 1.32 · Manta FC 0.47), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Deportivo Cuenca vs Manta FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.