Prediction: RFS vs SK Super Nova
Team pages: RFS · SK Super Nova
- SK Super Nova0-1RFS
- SK Super Nova1-2RFS
- RFS2-0SK Super Nova
- RFS5-2SK Super Nova
- SK Super Nova1-3RFS
- RFS4-1SK Super Nova
| RFS | Draw | SK Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 76% | 16% | 8% |
| Market | 78% | 13% | 9% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours RFS (rating 1610 vs 1436).
- H2H favours RFS: 6-0-0.
- High corners: 12 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| RFS | SK Super Nova | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.2 / 0.9 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 10/70/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.7 / 6.6 | 3.2 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · RFS 6–0–0 SK Super Nova
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08/26 Latvia Cup | SK Super Nova | 0-1 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 29/05/26 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-2 HT 1-1 | RFS |
| 18/04/26 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 2-0 HT 0-0 | SK Super Nova |
| 14/01/26 Europe Friendlies | RFS | 5-2 HT 1-1 | SK Super Nova |
| 02/11/25 Latvia Virsliga | SK Super Nova | 1-3 HT 0-1 | RFS |
| 10/08/25 Latvia Virsliga | RFS | 4-1 HT 3-0 | SK Super Nova |
Standings · Latvia Virsliga
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | RFS | 32 | 25 | 5 | 2 | 79 | 24 | 80 |
| 2 | Riga FC | 32 | 23 | 7 | 2 | 88 | 30 | 76 |
| 3 | FK Auda | 32 | 19 | 7 | 6 | 52 | 32 | 64 |
| 4 | FK Liepaja | 32 | 12 | 7 | 13 | 43 | 46 | 43 |
| 5 | BFC Daugavpils | 32 | 11 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | SK Super Nova | 32 | 11 | 5 | 16 | 31 | 45 | 38 |
| 7 | FK Jelgava | 32 | 8 | 8 | 16 | 34 | 53 | 32 |
| 8 | SC Grobinas | 32 | 5 | 11 | 16 | 22 | 54 | 26 |
| 9 | Tukums 2000 | 32 | 5 | 9 | 18 | 44 | 63 | 24 |
| 10 | Ogre United | 32 | 4 | 6 | 22 | 31 | 78 | 18 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | RFS | SK Super Nova |
|---|---|---|
| FK Jelgava | 4-2 W | 1-0 W |
| FK Auda | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| BFC Daugavpils | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| FK Liepaja | 0-0 D | 1-2 L |
| Ogre United | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Riga FC | 3-3 D | 0-1 L |
| SC Grobinas | 6-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Tukums 2000 | 1-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: RFS (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
RFS
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/10 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 4-2 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 1-1 | 11 | 6 | D |
| 13/09 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 2-1 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 07/09 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 30/08 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 23/08 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 3-3 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 10/08 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
4-0 | 6-1 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 27/07 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/07 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-0 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 04/07 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
SK Super Nova
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/10 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
1-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 20/09 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 0-1 | 11 | 2 | L |
| 15/09 | Riga FC Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 8 | L |
| 10/09 | Tukums 2000 Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 05/09 | FK Jelgava Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 3 | W |
| 29/08 | FK Auda Latvia Virsliga |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 22/08 | BFC Daugavpils Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 09/08 | FK Liepaja Latvia Virsliga |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 20/07 | SC Grobinas Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 06/07 | Ogre United Latvia Virsliga |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 2 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in RFS vs SK Super Nova?
According to our model, the most likely result is a RFS win (77%). Probabilities: RFS 77%, draw 14%, SK Super Nova 9%.
How many goals are expected in RFS vs SK Super Nova?
The model expects 3.3 goals (RFS 2.57 · SK Super Nova 0.73), with a 57% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in RFS vs SK Super Nova?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.