Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 02/08, 23:00
Prediction: New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II
Team pages: New York Red Bulls II · New England Revolution II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.42Total
New York Red Bulls II1.85
New England Revolution II1.57
1X2
New York Red Bulls II
Draw
New England Revolution II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
New York Red Bulls II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
New England Revolution II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
New York Red Bulls II
3–3
New England Revolution II
(6 last)
- New England Revolution II2-1New York Red Bulls II
- New England Revolution II1-2New York Red Bulls II
- New England Revolution II4-2New York Red Bulls II
- New York Red Bulls II4-1New England Revolution II
- New York Red Bulls II3-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II1-0New York Red Bulls II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · New York Red Bulls II 1449 · New England Revolution II 1522
| New York Red Bulls II | Draw | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.42 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England Revolution II (rating 1449 vs 1522).
- High corners: 11.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New York Red Bulls II | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 2 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 5.6 | 2.7 / 5.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New York Red Bulls II 3–0–3 New England Revolution II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | New York Red Bulls II |
| 13/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | New York Red Bulls II |
| 15/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 4-2 HT 2-1 | New York Red Bulls II |
| 18/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 4-1 HT 2-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 29/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New York Red Bulls II | 3-1 HT 1-1 | New England Revolution II |
| 15/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-0 HT 1-0 | New York Red Bulls II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 19 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 47 | 27 | 40 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 21 | 10 | 6 | 5 | 40 | 30 | 40 |
| 3 | Columbus Crew II | 20 | 10 | 5 | 5 | 36 | 31 | 39 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 19 | 9 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 22 | 36 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 40 | 34 | 35 |
| 6 | Atlanta United II | 20 | 10 | 4 | 6 | 53 | 43 | 34 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 40 | 32 | 32 |
| 8 | CT United | 19 | 9 | 2 | 8 | 35 | 33 | 31 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 34 | 28 | 30 |
| 10 | New York City FC II | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 28 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 35 | 28 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 21 | 27 | 26 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 20 | 7 | 3 | 10 | 31 | 38 | 25 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 22 | 4 | 8 | 10 | 40 | 49 | 23 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 19 | 4 | 2 | 13 | 19 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 19 | 1 | 4 | 14 | 16 | 47 | 8 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New York Red Bulls II | New England Revolution II |
|---|---|---|
| Crown Legacy | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Chicago Fire II | 0-3 L | 1-2 L |
| FC Cincinnati II | 2-2 D | 2-2 D |
| Philadelphia Union II | 5-0 W | 0-4 L |
| Toronto FC II | 5-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 2 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New York Red Bulls II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 12/07 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 11 | 7 | L |
| 06/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 29/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
| 22/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 31/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 2 | D |
| 25/05 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-3 | 3 | 7 | L |
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 7 | D |
| 05/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New York Red Bulls II win (44%). Probabilities: New York Red Bulls II 44%, draw 24%, New England Revolution II 32%.
How many goals are expected in New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II?
The model expects 3.42 goals (New York Red Bulls II 1.85 · New England Revolution II 1.57), with a 51% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in New York Red Bulls II vs New England Revolution II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.