Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 09/08, 03:00

Prediction: Colorado Rapids II vs St Louis City II

Team pages: Colorado Rapids II · St Louis City II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.95Total

Colorado Rapids II1.23

St Louis City II1.72

1X2

27% 25% 48%

Colorado Rapids II Draw St Louis City II

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 57% Both teams to score 56%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Colorado Rapids II 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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St Louis City II 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Colorado Rapids II 1–3–2 St Louis City II (6 last)

Colorado Rapids II1-1St Louis City II
St Louis City II2-2Colorado Rapids II
St Louis City II2-2Colorado Rapids II
Colorado Rapids II2-3St Louis City II
St Louis City II0-1Colorado Rapids II
Colorado Rapids II1-3St Louis City II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids II 1446 · St Louis City II 1460

	Colorado Rapids II	Draw	St Louis City II
Our model	26%	26%	48%
Market	27%	24%	49%

Estimated total (ours) 2.95 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Louis City II: 2-3-1.
Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Colorado Rapids II	St Louis City II
Goals for / against (FT)	0.8 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.1 / 0.8	0.4 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/40/60%	0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.4 / 4.6	2.2 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.8 / 0.5	3.3 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

13.25

X3.75

21.83

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.90

2 (-0.5)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 2.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 22:22

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.25 → 3.25	Pinn 3.63 ★
X	3.75 → 3.75	Pinn 4.10
2	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 12% Pinnacle margin 9.2%

Time*	1	X	2
22:20 +3’	3.25	3.75	1.83

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
22:18 +4’	3.51	4.08	1.77
00:09 +1’	3.63▲	4.10▲	1.75▼

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 1–3–2 St Louis City II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Colorado Rapids II	1-1 HT 1-1	St Louis City II
11/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	2-2 HT 0-2	Colorado Rapids II
11/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	2-2 HT 1-0	Colorado Rapids II
16/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Colorado Rapids II	2-3 HT 2-0	St Louis City II
06/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	0-1 HT 0-1	Colorado Rapids II
08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Colorado Rapids II	1-3 HT 1-1	St Louis City II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Austin FC II	20	13	5	2	42	18	46
2	Portland Timbers II	21	12	5	4	28	24	43
3	Houston Dynamo II	19	12	3	4	42	19	42
4	Ventura County FC	21	10	5	6	43	28	38
5	Los Angeles FC II	20	8	7	5	33	32	34
6	Tacoma Defiance	21	9	4	8	29	29	33
7	St Louis City II	21	8	6	7	34	33	33
8	The Town	19	8	4	7	38	24	29
9	Minnesota United FC II	21	8	3	10	29	34	29
10	North Texas SC	19	6	6	7	30	29	26
11	Real Monarchs SLC	21	6	4	11	31	39	26
12	Sporting Kansas City II	20	5	3	12	27	52	19
13	Vancouver Whitecaps II	22	4	4	14	28	49	19
14	Colorado Rapids II	21	2	5	14	18	42	12

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Colorado Rapids II	St Louis City II
Los Angeles FC II	0-3 L	1-1 D
Houston Dynamo II	1-2 L	1-2 L
North Texas SC	1-0 W	0-3 L
Austin FC II	2-3 L	0-2 L
Vancouver Whitecaps II	1-0 W	1-1 D
Portland Timbers II	0-2 L	1-2 L
Minnesota United FC II	0-2 L	2-5 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 5 L	0 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Colorado Rapids II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-3	1	5	L
27/07	Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-2	8	6	L
19/07	Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	8	7	L
12/07	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-0	6	6	W
06/07	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	2-3	9	4	L
28/06	Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-0	2	4	W
21/06	Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-2	5	6	L
14/06	Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-1	1	7	D
07/06	St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	4	3	D
24/05	Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	2	5	L

St Louis City II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
03/08	Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	3-0	3	6	W
27/07	Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
19/07	Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
12/07	Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/07	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
29/06	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
20/06	Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-5	3	4	L
07/06	Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
30/05	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
24/05	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	9	7	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids II vs St Louis City II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Louis City II win (48%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids II 27%, draw 25%, St Louis City II 48%.

How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids II vs St Louis City II?

The model expects 2.95 goals (Colorado Rapids II 1.23 · St Louis City II 1.72), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids II vs St Louis City II?

The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.