Football · Venezuela Primera Division · 02/08, 23:00
Prediction: Zamora vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Team pages: Zamora · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.32Total
Zamora1.59
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0.73
1X2
Zamora
Draw
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 59%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-0
Recent form · 10 last
Zamora
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Zamora
3–1–2
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
(6 last)
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano0-1Zamora
- Zamora1-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano2-0Zamora
- Zamora3-0Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Zamora3-3Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
- Deportivo Rayo Zuliano3-0Zamora
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Zamora 1527 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 1416
| Zamora | Draw | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 57% | 27% | 16% |
| Market | 57% | 26% | 16% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.32 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Zamora (rating 1527 vs 1416).
- H2H favours Zamora: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 12.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Zamora | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.6 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.7 | 0.4 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/40/30% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5 | 1.5 / 3.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 6.4 / 0.2 | 5.9 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Zamora 3–1–2 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/01/26 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Zamora |
| 14/09/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 05/04/25 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Zamora |
| 17/01/25 America Friendlies | Zamora | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 12/11/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Zamora | 3-3 HT 2-2 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
| 29/10/24 Venezuela Primera Division | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Zamora |
Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Portuguesa | 1 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 3 |
| 2 | Academia Anzoategui FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Academia Puerto Cabello | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Caracas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Deportivo La Guaira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Deportivo Tachira | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Estudiantes Merida | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Metropolitanos FC | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Monagas | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Trujillanos | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | UCV | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 2 | Zamora | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 | Carabobo | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Zamora | Deportivo Rayo Zuliano |
|---|---|---|
| Caracas | 1-1 D | 1-2 L |
| Metropolitanos FC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Monagas | 2-1 W | 0-3 L |
| Trujillanos | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Portuguesa | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Deportivo Tachira | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Carabobo | 0-0 D | 0-5 L |
| UCV | 1-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 3 D 3 L | 0 W 3 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Zamora (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Zamora
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Atletico El Vigia Venezuela Cup |
4-1 | 6-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 25/04 | Academia Anzoategui FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 10 | D |
| 20/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 12/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 04/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 22/03 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 18/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 9 | L |
| 16/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
1-1 | 1-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 07/03 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/02 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/06 | Trujillanos Venezuela Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 25/04 | Caracas Venezuela Primera Division |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 18/04 | Metropolitanos FC Venezuela Primera Division |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | Monagas Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 04/04 | Trujillanos Venezuela Primera Division |
2-1 | 3-1 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 22/03 | Portuguesa Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 10 | D |
| 18/03 | Deportivo Tachira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 6 | D |
| 15/03 | Carabobo Venezuela Primera Division |
0-3 | 0-5 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 08/03 | UCV Venezuela Primera Division |
1-3 | 1-5 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/03 | Deportivo La Guaira Venezuela Primera Division |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Zamora vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Zamora win (57%). Probabilities: Zamora 57%, draw 27%, Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 16%.
How many goals are expected in Zamora vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model expects 2.32 goals (Zamora 1.59 · Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 0.73), with a 51% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Zamora vs Deportivo Rayo Zuliano?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.