Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 18:00
Prediction: AZ Picerno ASD vs Barletta
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.28Total
AZ Picerno ASD1.19
Barletta1.09
1X2
AZ Picerno ASD
Draw
Barletta
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
AZ Picerno ASD
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Barletta
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · AZ Picerno ASD 1490 · Barletta 1559
| AZ Picerno ASD | Draw | Barletta | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 31% | 32% |
| Market | 38% | 29% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.28 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Barletta (rating 1490 vs 1559).
- Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AZ Picerno ASD | Barletta | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1 | 1.6 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.5 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/60/10% | 25/50/25% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5 | 2.3 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.5 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AZ Picerno ASD
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/04 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | – | – | D |
| 19/04 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 13/04 | Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 06/04 | Catania Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 7 | W |
| 29/03 | Monopoli Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/03 | Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/03 | Trapani Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 9 | D |
| 08/03 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 05/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 3 | D |
| 28/02 | Team Altamura Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
Barletta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/05 | FC Vado Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | FC Vado Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Scafatese Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 10/05 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 03/05 | AC Nardo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 26/04 | Real Acerrana Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | ASD Heraclea Italy Serie D |
– | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Citta di Fasano Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 02/04 | SS Nola 1925 Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 29/03 | ASD Real Normanna Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AZ Picerno ASD vs Barletta?
According to our model, the most likely result is a AZ Picerno ASD win (38%). Probabilities: AZ Picerno ASD 38%, draw 30%, Barletta 33%.
How many goals are expected in AZ Picerno ASD vs Barletta?
The model expects 2.28 goals (AZ Picerno ASD 1.19 · Barletta 1.09), with a 53% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in AZ Picerno ASD vs Barletta?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.