Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: Casertana vs AC Savoia 1908
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Casertana1.49
AC Savoia 19081.05
1X2
Casertana
Draw
AC Savoia 1908
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Casertana
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
AC Savoia 1908
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Casertana
2–0
AC Savoia 1908
(2 last)
- Casertana4-1AC Savoia 1908
- AC Savoia 19080-3Casertana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Casertana 1536 · AC Savoia 1908 1531
| Casertana | Draw | AC Savoia 1908 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 28% | 26% |
| Market | 46% | 28% | 26% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Casertana: 2-0-0.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Casertana | AC Savoia 1908 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/50/20% | 50/33/17% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 3.9 | 1.8 / 5.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 3.8 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Casertana 2–0–0 AC Savoia 1908
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/15 Italy Serie C Group C | Casertana | 4-1 HT 1-0 | AC Savoia 1908 |
| 20/12/14 Italy Serie C Group C | AC Savoia 1908 | 0-3 HT 0-0 | Casertana |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Casertana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Salernitana Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 06/05 | Crotone Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 2 | D |
| 03/05 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/04 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/04 | Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C |
4-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 04/04 | Cavese Italy Serie C Group C |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 30/03 | Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 9 | W |
| 21/03 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C |
1-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 4 | W |
AC Savoia 1908
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/05 | Scafatese Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-4 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 10/05 | Barletta Italy Serie D |
– | 1-2 | – | – | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Sancataldese Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | SSD Athletic Club Palermo Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/04 | Igea Virtus Italy Serie D |
– | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 12/04 | Vigor Lamezia Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 02/04 | ACR Messina Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 29/03 | ASD Ragusa Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 22/03 | Milazzo Italy Serie D |
– | 0-1 | – | – | L |
| 15/03 | Gelbison Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Casertana vs AC Savoia 1908?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Casertana win (46%). Probabilities: Casertana 46%, draw 28%, AC Savoia 1908 26%.
How many goals are expected in Casertana vs AC Savoia 1908?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Casertana 1.49 · AC Savoia 1908 1.05), with a 51% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Casertana vs AC Savoia 1908?
The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.