Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 15/08, 21:00
Prediction: Salernitana vs Scafatese
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.76Total
Salernitana1.8
Scafatese0.97
1X2
Salernitana
Draw
Scafatese
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Salernitana
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Scafatese
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Salernitana 1544 · Scafatese 1576
| Salernitana | Draw | Scafatese | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 56% | 26% | 19% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.76 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Salernitana | Scafatese | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1 | 2.4 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 0/67/33% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.4 | 1.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Salernitana
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Catanzaro U19 Club Friendly List |
1-0 | 3-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/08 | Sambiase Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 27/05 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 20/05 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 13/05 | Casertana Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 8 | D |
| 10/05 | Casertana Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
2-0 | 3-2 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 26/04 | Foggia Italy Serie C Group C |
2-1 | 3-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
Scafatese
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/08 | Teramo Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 0 | D |
| 28/07 | ASD Pineto Calcio Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 4-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 22/07 | Avellino Club Friendly List |
1-2 | 1-3 | – | – | L |
| 06/06 | FC Vado Italy Serie D Play-Offs |
– | 6-0 | – | – | W |
| 31/05 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/05 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Barletta Italy Serie D |
– | 1-1 | – | – | D |
| 13/05 | AC Savoia 1908 Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 4-1 | 9 | 0 | W |
| 03/05 | Cynthialbalonga Italy Serie D |
– | 4-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | US Palmese 1914 Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Salernitana vs Scafatese?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Salernitana win (56%). Probabilities: Salernitana 56%, draw 25%, Scafatese 19%.
How many goals are expected in Salernitana vs Scafatese?
The model expects 2.76 goals (Salernitana 1.8 · Scafatese 0.97), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Salernitana vs Scafatese?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.