Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 16/08, 21:00

Prediction: Foggia vs Team Altamura

Prediction summary
Expected goals
1.94Total
Foggia0.88
Team Altamura1.07
1X2
29% 32% 39%
Foggia Draw Team Altamura
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 59% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0
Recent form · 10 last
Foggia 1-2-7 (W-D-L)
LLLLDWLDLL
Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)
DWLLLWLDDL
Head-to-head
Foggia 2–3 Team Altamura (5 last)
  • Team Altamura1-0Foggia
  • Foggia0-1Team Altamura
  • Foggia0-2Team Altamura
  • Team Altamura0-2Foggia
  • Foggia1-0Team Altamura
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Foggia 1422 · Team Altamura 1468
FoggiaDrawTeam Altamura
Our model28%34%38%
Market30%30%40%
Estimated total (ours) 1.94 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Team Altamura (rating 1422 vs 1468).
  • H2H favours Team Altamura: 3-0-2.
  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

FoggiaTeam Altamura
Goals for / against (FT)0.4 / 1.10.6 / 1.3
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.60.3 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)0/60/40%20/30/50%
Corners (HT / FT)1.6 / 3.60.8 / 2.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4.4 / 0.13.4 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Foggia 203 Team Altamura

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DateHomeScoreAway
05/03/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Team Altamura1-0
HT 0-0
Foggia
24/10/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Foggia0-1
HT 0-0
Team Altamura
06/01/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Foggia0-2
HT 0-0
Team Altamura
02/09/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Team Altamura0-2
HT 0-1
Foggia
24/11/19
Italy Serie D
Foggia1-0Team Altamura

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentFoggiaTeam Altamura
Salernitana 1-3 L 1-2 L
Siracusa 1-1 D 1-0 W
Cosenza 0-1 L 0-1 L
Casarano 1-2 L 0-4 L
Record vs common 0 W 1 D 3 L 1 W 0 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Team Altamura (2 of 4 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Foggia

LLLLDWLDLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-2 1-3 94 L
19/04 Monopoli
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 15 L
12/04 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 36 D
04/04 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 35 L
29/03 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 76 W
22/03 Cavese
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 57 D
15/03 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 54 L
08/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 06 L
05/03 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 11 L
28/02 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 21 L

Team Altamura

DWLLLWLDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/04 Casarano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 0-4 12 L
19/04 Audace Cerignola
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 32 D
12/04 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 14 D
06/04 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 45 L
29/03 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 23 W
23/03 Salernitana
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 1-2 14 L
15/03 Catania
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-2 36 L
08/03 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-1 15 L
05/03 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 41 W
28/02 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Foggia vs Team Altamura?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Team Altamura win (39%). Probabilities: Foggia 29%, draw 32%, Team Altamura 39%.

How many goals are expected in Foggia vs Team Altamura?

The model expects 1.94 goals (Foggia 0.88 · Team Altamura 1.07), with a 58% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Foggia vs Team Altamura?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.