Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: FC Vado vs Inter Milan U23
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.71Total
FC Vado1.29
Inter Milan U231.42
1X2
FC Vado
Draw
Inter Milan U23
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
FC Vado
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Inter Milan U23
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · FC Vado 1536 · Inter Milan U23 1501
| FC Vado | Draw | Inter Milan U23 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 33% | 28% | 39% |
| Market | 32% | 30% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.71 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| FC Vado | Inter Milan U23 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 1.6 | 1.1 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/33/17% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.5 / 3.8 | 1.8 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 2.4 / 0 |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
FC Vado
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/08 | Sestri Levante Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 05/08 | Torino Europe Friendlies |
0-2 | 1-3 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 06/06 | Scafatese Italy Serie D Play-Offs |
– | 0-6 | – | – | L |
| 30/05 | Barletta Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Barletta Italy Serie D |
1-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | US Folgore Caratese Italy Serie D |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/05 | Treviso Italy Serie D |
– | 3-3 | – | – | D |
| 03/05 | Biellesse Italy Serie D |
– | 3-2 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | NovaRomentino Italy Serie D |
– | 5-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/04 | Cairese Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 2-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
Inter Milan U23
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | US Pergolettese Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 05/08 | Lecco Europe Friendlies |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 02/08 | Albinoleffe Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Novara Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 6 | L |
| 12/04 | ASD Union Arzignanochiampo Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 08/04 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 04/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
2-0 | 2-0 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 22/03 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 3 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in FC Vado vs Inter Milan U23?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Inter Milan U23 win (39%). Probabilities: FC Vado 32%, draw 29%, Inter Milan U23 39%.
How many goals are expected in FC Vado vs Inter Milan U23?
The model expects 2.71 goals (FC Vado 1.29 · Inter Milan U23 1.42), with a 60% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in FC Vado vs Inter Milan U23?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.