Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: Grosseto vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
Grosseto1.26
FC Guidonia Montecelio 19371.1
1X2
Grosseto
Draw
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Grosseto
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Grosseto
1–1
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
(2 last)
- Grosseto1-0FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
- FC Guidonia Montecelio 19373-0Grosseto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Grosseto 1498 · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1477
| Grosseto | Draw | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 30% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 4.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Grosseto | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 1 | 0.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 14/57/29% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.3 / 5.6 | 3.2 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 1.3 / 0.1 | 3.4 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Grosseto 1–0–1 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/02/20 Italy Serie D | Grosseto | 1-0 HT 0-0 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 |
| 13/10/19 Italy Serie D | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 3-0 | Grosseto |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Grosseto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 3-1 | 7 | 0 | W |
| 05/08 | ASD Tau Calcio Altopascio Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 02/08 | Perugia Europe Friendlies |
– | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 17/05 | Desenzano Italy Serie D |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 13/05 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie D |
1-2 | 2-3 | 10 | 1 | L |
| 26/04 | San Donato Tavarnelle Italy Serie D |
– | 0-2 | – | – | L |
| 19/04 | Prato Italy Serie D |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 12/04 | Vivi Altotevere Sansepolcro Italy Serie D |
2-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 28/03 | Gavorrano Italy Serie D |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 22/03 | ASD Terranuova Traiana Italy Serie D |
– | 1-0 | – | – | W |
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Salernitana Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 1 | L |
| 18/04 | Ascoli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 04/04 | Ternana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 29/03 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 21/03 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 14/03 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 08/03 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 04/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Grosseto vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Grosseto win (39%). Probabilities: Grosseto 39%, draw 30%, FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 31%.
How many goals are expected in Grosseto vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
The model expects 2.35 goals (Grosseto 1.26 · FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 1.1), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Grosseto vs FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.