Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 15/08, 21:00
Prediction: Livorno vs AC Reggiana
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.68Total
Livorno1.12
AC Reggiana1.55
1X2
Livorno
Draw
AC Reggiana
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Livorno
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
AC Reggiana
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Livorno
1–1
AC Reggiana
(2 last)
- AC Reggiana1-2Livorno
- Livorno1-2AC Reggiana
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Livorno 1496 · AC Reggiana 1477
| Livorno | Draw | AC Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 26% | 28% | 46% |
| Market | 26% | 28% | 46% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.68 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Livorno | AC Reggiana | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 1.4 | 0.8 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.3 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 22/56/22% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 2.9 | 2.1 / 3.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Livorno 1–0–1 AC Reggiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/06/17 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | AC Reggiana | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Livorno |
| 31/05/17 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Livorno | 1-2 HT 0-2 | AC Reggiana |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Livorno
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Empoli Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 0 | D |
| 01/08 | Cittadella Vis Modena Club Friendly List |
– | 2-1 | – | – | W |
| 26/04 | Pontedera Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 12/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 0 | 3 | L |
| 03/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 0 | 5 | W |
| 28/03 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-3 | 1-3 | 0 | 9 | L |
| 21/03 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 14/03 | AC Carpi Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 5 | D |
| 08/03 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 04/03 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
AC Reggiana
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Alcione Milano Club Friendly List |
0-0 | 1-0 | – | – | W |
| 08/05 | Sampdoria Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 01/05 | Modena Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 25/04 | Palermo Italy Serie B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 19/04 | Padova Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Carrarese Italy Serie B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 06/04 | Pescara Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 22/03 | Virtus Entella Italy Serie B |
0-1 | 0-3 | 3 | 9 | L |
| 17/03 | Monza Italy Serie B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Bari Italy Serie B |
0-2 | 1-4 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Livorno vs AC Reggiana?
According to our model, the most likely result is an AC Reggiana win (46%). Probabilities: Livorno 26%, draw 28%, AC Reggiana 46%.
How many goals are expected in Livorno vs AC Reggiana?
The model expects 2.68 goals (Livorno 1.12 · AC Reggiana 1.55), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Livorno vs AC Reggiana?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.