Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00

Prediction: Pro Vercelli vs US Pergolettese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.36Total
Pro Vercelli1.12
US Pergolettese1.24
1X2
32% 31% 38%
Pro Vercelli Draw US Pergolettese
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Pro Vercelli 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
LWDDLLWLLW
US Pergolettese 3-4-3 (W-D-L)
DLLWLDDWWD
Head-to-head
Pro Vercelli 3–3 US Pergolettese (6 last)
  • US Pergolettese2-1Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli2-0US Pergolettese
  • US Pergolettese1-0Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli1-0US Pergolettese
  • US Pergolettese3-0Pro Vercelli
  • Pro Vercelli1-0US Pergolettese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pro Vercelli 1477 · US Pergolettese 1499
Pro VercelliDrawUS Pergolettese
Our model32%31%38%
Market32%31%38%
Estimated total (ours) 2.36 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

Pro VercelliUS Pergolettese
Goals for / against (FT)1.1 / 1.70.9 / 1
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.60.5 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)1.3 / 3.61.9 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)4 / 03.5 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Pro Vercelli 303 US Pergolettese

Swipe the table sideways →

DateHomeScoreAway
03/03/26
Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese2-1
HT 0-0
Pro Vercelli
26/10/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli2-0
HT 1-0
US Pergolettese
22/12/24
Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese1-0
HT 0-0
Pro Vercelli
26/08/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli1-0
HT 0-0
US Pergolettese
24/02/24
Italy Serie C Group A
US Pergolettese3-0
HT 0-0
Pro Vercelli
21/10/23
Italy Serie C Group A
Pro Vercelli1-0
HT 0-0
US Pergolettese

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentPro VercelliUS Pergolettese
ASD Union Arzignanochiampo 0-3 L 0-1 L
Inter Milan U23 0-2 L 0-0 D
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Pergolettese (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pro Vercelli

LWDDLLWLLW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
26/07 Pisa
Club Friendly List
1-0 1-0 W
18/07 Monza
Club Friendly List
1-2 3-4 L
25/04 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-3 64 L
19/04 A.C. Ospitaletto
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 32 W
13/04 Renate
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-2 36 L
04/04 Inter Milan U23
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 0-2 53 L
28/03 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 1-1 43 D
21/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 54 D
15/03 Triestina
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 3-2 37 W
07/03 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-2 03 L

US Pergolettese

DLLWLDDWWD

Swipe the table sideways →

Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
09/08 Inter Milan U23
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 30 D
06/08 Club Milano
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 40 W
25/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
2-0 3-0 32 W
19/04 Vicenza
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 36 D
11/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-2 2-2 23 D
06/04 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-3 64 L
28/03 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 46 W
21/03 Giana Erminio
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-2 34 L
14/03 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 0-1 57 L
07/03 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 1-1 34 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pro Vercelli vs US Pergolettese?

According to our model, the most likely result is an US Pergolettese win (38%). Probabilities: Pro Vercelli 32%, draw 31%, US Pergolettese 38%.

How many goals are expected in Pro Vercelli vs US Pergolettese?

The model expects 2.36 goals (Pro Vercelli 1.12 · US Pergolettese 1.24), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Pro Vercelli vs US Pergolettese?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.