Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: Trento vs A.C. Ospitaletto
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Trento1.83
A.C. Ospitaletto1.12
1X2
Trento
Draw
A.C. Ospitaletto
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trento
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
A.C. Ospitaletto
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Trento
1–1
A.C. Ospitaletto
(2 last)
- A.C. Ospitaletto3-2Trento
- Trento3-1A.C. Ospitaletto
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Trento 1488 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1519
| Trento | Draw | A.C. Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 53% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 52% | 26% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Trento | A.C. Ospitaletto | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.4 / 1.3 | 2 / 1.3 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1.1 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/30/30% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.4 | 1.3 / 3.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0.3 | 2 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Trento 1–0–1 A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/03/26 Italy Serie C Group A | A.C. Ospitaletto | 3-2 HT 3-0 | Trento |
| 09/11/25 Italy Serie C Group A | Trento | 3-1 HT 2-0 | A.C. Ospitaletto |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Trento
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Modena Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/07 | Sassuolo Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | – | – | W |
| 19/07 | Genoa Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 03/05 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-1 | 1-2 | 9 | 1 | L |
| 25/04 | AC Dolomiti Bellunesi Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 6 | D |
| 19/04 | Renate Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-3 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 12/04 | Cittadella Italy Serie C Group A |
1-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 08/04 | Inter Milan U23 Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 04/04 | Alcione Milano Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 20/03 | Triestina Italy Serie C Group A |
0-1 | 2-2 | 7 | 2 | D |
A.C. Ospitaletto
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Legnago Salus Europe Friendlies |
3-1 | 5-1 | 5 | 0 | W |
| 25/07 | Padova Club Friendly List |
2-0 | 3-1 | – | – | W |
| 02/05 | Union Brescia Club Friendly List |
2-2 | 3-4 | 3 | 0 | L |
| 25/04 | Novara Italy Serie C Group A |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 19/04 | Pro Vercelli Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 12/04 | Albinoleffe Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 06/04 | Virtus Verona Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 28/03 | Giana Erminio Italy Serie C Group A |
1-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 1 | W |
| 21/03 | Union Brescia Italy Serie C Group A |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 1 | D |
| 14/03 | Trento Italy Serie C Group A |
3-0 | 3-2 | 0 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Trento vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Trento win (52%). Probabilities: Trento 52%, draw 26%, A.C. Ospitaletto 22%.
How many goals are expected in Trento vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Trento 1.83 · A.C. Ospitaletto 1.12), with a 56% chance of over 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Trento vs A.C. Ospitaletto?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.