Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 15/08, 18:00

Prediction: Lumezzane vs Renate

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.26Total
Lumezzane1.15
Renate1.11
1X2
35% 31% 33%
Lumezzane Draw Renate
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Lumezzane 4-5-1 (W-D-L)
DDWWDWDLDW
Renate 4-4-2 (W-D-L)
DDLWDWDWWL
Head-to-head
Lumezzane 2–2–2 Renate (6 last)
  • Renate0-0Lumezzane
  • Lumezzane0-0Renate
  • Lumezzane0-2Renate
  • Renate1-2Lumezzane
  • Renate0-1Lumezzane
  • Lumezzane2-3Renate
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Lumezzane 1536 · Renate 1515
LumezzaneDrawRenate
Our model35%31%33%
Market35%31%33%
Estimated total (ours) 2.26 goals · Bet365 line 2.25

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

LumezzaneRenate
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 0.71.5 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.7 / 0.30.6 / 0.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)30/50/20%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 5.33 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.1 / 04.3 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · Lumezzane 222 Renate

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DateHomeScoreAway
07/03/26
Italy Serie C Group A
Renate0-0
HT 0-0
Lumezzane
02/11/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane0-0
HT 0-0
Renate
16/03/25
Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane0-2
HT 0-1
Renate
02/11/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Renate1-2
HT 0-1
Lumezzane
10/02/24
Italy Serie C Group A
Renate0-1
HT 0-0
Lumezzane
01/10/23
Italy Serie C Group A
Lumezzane2-3
HT 1-1
Renate

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentLumezzaneRenate
Virtus Verona 4-1 W 2-2 D
Novara 3-1 W 3-1 W
Pro Vercelli 1-1 D 2-1 W
Record vs common 2 W 1 D 0 L 2 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Lumezzane

DDWWDWDLDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
08/08 A.C. Crema 1908
Europe Friendlies
1-0 1-0 90 W
01/08 Cremonese
Europe Friendlies
0-0 0-0 30 D
06/05 Cittadella
Italy Serie C Play-Offs
0-1 0-1 92 L
03/05 Alcione Milano
Italy Serie C Play-Offs
0-0 0-0 25 D
25/04 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
4-0 4-1 71 W
19/04 Lecco
Italy Serie C Group A
1-2 2-2 14 D
11/04 Union Brescia
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-0 48 W
03/04 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 3-1 43 W
28/03 Albinoleffe
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 114 D
21/03 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 1-1 34 D

Renate

DDLWDWDWWL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
13/05 Casarano
Italy Serie C Play-Offs
0-2 0-3 74 L
10/05 Casarano
Italy Serie C Play-Offs
2-0 2-0 35 W
25/04 Pro Patria
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 2-1 64 W
19/04 Trento
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 3-3 47 D
13/04 Pro Vercelli
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 2-1 56 W
03/04 ASD Union Arzignanochiampo
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 55 D
28/03 Novara
Italy Serie C Group A
1-1 3-1 63 W
21/03 Vicenza
Italy Serie C Group A
1-0 1-3 25 L
15/03 Virtus Verona
Italy Serie C Group A
0-1 2-2 72 D
07/03 Lumezzane
Italy Serie C Group A
0-0 0-0 65 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Lumezzane vs Renate?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Lumezzane win (35%). Probabilities: Lumezzane 35%, draw 31%, Renate 33%.

How many goals are expected in Lumezzane vs Renate?

The model expects 2.26 goals (Lumezzane 1.15 · Renate 1.11), with a 53% chance of under 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Lumezzane vs Renate?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.