Prediction: Trujillanos vs UCV

Team pages: Trujillanos

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.63Total
Trujillanos1.15
UCV1.48
1X2
28% 29% 43%
Trujillanos Draw UCV
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Trujillanos 0-2-8 (W-D-L)
DLLLLLLLLD
UCV 3-2-5 (W-D-L)
WWDDLLWLLL
Head-to-head
Trujillanos 0–1 UCV (1 last)
  • UCV2-0Trujillanos
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Trujillanos 1392 · UCV 1476
TrujillanosDrawUCV
Our model28%28%43%
Market28%30%43%
Estimated total (ours) 2.63 goals · Bet365 line 2.5

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours UCV (rating 1392 vs 1476).
  • Cards-heavy: 11 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

TrujillanosUCV
Goals for / against (FT)0.6 / 2.11.3 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.4 / 0.70.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/50/40%0/70/30%
Corners (HT / FT)1.9 / 4.81.4 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)5.9 / 0.25.1 / 0.1

Head-to-head (H2H) · Trujillanos 001 UCV

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DateHomeScoreAway
02/02/26
Venezuela Primera Division
UCV2-0
HT 1-0
Trujillanos

Standings · Venezuela Primera Division · Primera Division 2026, Clausura

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#Team PWL GFGAPts
1 Academia Anzoategui FC 000 000
1 Academia Puerto Cabello 000 000
1 Carabobo 000 000
1 Caracas 000 000
1 Deportivo La Guaira 000 000
1 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano 000 000
1 Deportivo Tachira 000 000
1 Estudiantes Merida 000 000
1 Metropolitanos FC 000 000
1 Monagas 000 000
1 Portuguesa 000 000
1 Trujillanos 000 000
1 UCV 000 000
1 Zamora 000 000

Common opponents 2 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentTrujillanosUCV
Deportivo La Guaira 0-1 L 0-0 D
Academia Puerto Cabello 1-3 L 1-2 L
Record vs common 0 W 0 D 2 L 0 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: UCV (2 of 2 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Trujillanos

DLLLLLLLLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
24/06 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Venezuela Cup
0-0 0-0 73 D
25/04 Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 63 L
22/04 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 1-3 27 L
12/04 Estudiantes Merida
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-2 45 L
04/04 Deportivo Rayo Zuliano
Venezuela Primera Division
1-2 1-3 89 L
22/03 Zamora
Venezuela Primera Division
0-1 0-3 59 L
18/03 Caracas
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 2-4 66 L
14/03 Metropolitanos FC
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-1 14 L
09/03 Monagas
Venezuela Primera Division
1-0 1-3 35 L
01/03 Academia Anzoategui FC
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 1-1 610 D

UCV

WWDDLLWLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
29/07 Santos
Copa Sudamericana
1-1 2-4 42 L
22/07 Santos
Copa Sudamericana
0-1 1-4 24 L
30/05 Portuguesa
Venezuela Primera Division
0-2 2-3 69 L
28/05 Libertad Asuncion
Copa Libertadores
0-0 1-0 23 W
24/05 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-2 15 L
20/05 Rosario Central
Copa Libertadores
0-2 0-4 05 L
16/05 Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 0-0 410 D
13/05 Deportivo La Guaira
Venezuela Primera Division
0-0 1-1 64 D
10/05 Academia Puerto Cabello
Venezuela Primera Division
1-1 3-1 37 W
06/05 Independiente del Valle
Copa Libertadores
0-0 2-0 13 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Trujillanos vs UCV?

According to our model, the most likely result is an UCV win (43%). Probabilities: Trujillanos 28%, draw 29%, UCV 43%.

How many goals are expected in Trujillanos vs UCV?

The model expects 2.63 goals (Trujillanos 1.15 · UCV 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Trujillanos vs UCV?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.