Football · Italy Serie C Cup · 14/08, 21:00
Prediction: ASD Pineto Calcio vs Gubbio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.35Total
ASD Pineto Calcio1.26
Gubbio1.09
1X2
ASD Pineto Calcio
Draw
Gubbio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
ASD Pineto Calcio
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Gubbio
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
ASD Pineto Calcio
2–4
Gubbio
(6 last)
- ASD Pineto Calcio2-1Gubbio
- Gubbio2-0ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio1-0Gubbio
- Gubbio2-1ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio1-2Gubbio
- ASD Pineto Calcio1-2Gubbio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · ASD Pineto Calcio 1461 · Gubbio 1459
| ASD Pineto Calcio | Draw | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 39% | 31% | 31% |
| Market | 39% | 30% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.35 goals · Bet365 line 2 · +0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 61%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gubbio: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| ASD Pineto Calcio | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 1.6 | 0.9 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 2.7 | 1.5 / 2.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.4 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · ASD Pineto Calcio 2–0–4 Gubbio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/05/26 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | ASD Pineto Calcio | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Gubbio |
| 26/04/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Gubbio | 2-0 HT 1-0 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 20/12/25 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gubbio |
| 14/02/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Gubbio | 2-1 HT 1-1 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 06/10/24 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Gubbio |
| 07/01/24 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Gubbio |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
ASD Pineto Calcio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/08 | Pro Vasto Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 0 | L |
| 08/08 | ASD Atletico Ascoli Europe Friendlies |
0-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 0 | D |
| 05/08 | Notaresco Calcio 1924 Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 01/08 | L'Aquila Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 28/07 | Scafatese Europe Friendlies |
1-1 | 1-4 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 06/05 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 11 | D |
| 03/05 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 26/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
Gubbio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/07 | ASD Sporting Trestina Europe Friendlies |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 0 | W |
| 22/07 | Fiorentina Europe Friendlies |
0-1 | 0-1 | 0 | 0 | L |
| 03/05 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Play-Offs |
1-0 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/04 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 7 | W |
| 18/04 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 11/04 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 03/04 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-3 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 29/03 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/03 | Juventus U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 15/03 | Ascoli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Gubbio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a ASD Pineto Calcio win (39%). Probabilities: ASD Pineto Calcio 39%, draw 30%, Gubbio 31%.
How many goals are expected in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Gubbio?
The model expects 2.35 goals (ASD Pineto Calcio 1.26 · Gubbio 1.09), with a 55% chance of over 2 goals.
Will both teams score in ASD Pineto Calcio vs Gubbio?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.