Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 20/09, 17:30
Prediction: Campobasso vs ASD Pineto Calcio
Team pages: Campobasso · ASD Pineto Calcio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.04Total
Campobasso1.25
ASD Pineto Calcio0.79
1X2
Campobasso
Draw
ASD Pineto Calcio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 67%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
1-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
Campobasso
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
ASD Pineto Calcio
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Campobasso
1–1–4
ASD Pineto Calcio
(6 last)
- Campobasso1-1ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio1-0Campobasso
- Campobasso0-1ASD Pineto Calcio
- Campobasso1-3ASD Pineto Calcio
- ASD Pineto Calcio0-1Campobasso
- ASD Pineto Calcio3-2Campobasso
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Campobasso 1524 · ASD Pineto Calcio 1459
| Campobasso | Draw | ASD Pineto Calcio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 32% | 22% |
| Market | 48% | 27% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.04 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Campobasso (rating 1524 vs 1459).
- H2H favours ASD Pineto Calcio: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Campobasso | ASD Pineto Calcio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.3 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.4 | 0.2 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 0/70/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5 | 1 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.2 | 4.9 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Campobasso 1–1–4 ASD Pineto Calcio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/05/26 Italy Serie C Play-Offs | Campobasso | 1-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Campobasso |
| 13/09/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Campobasso | 0-1 HT 0-1 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 02/03/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Campobasso | 1-3 HT 1-2 | ASD Pineto Calcio |
| 21/10/24 Italy Serie C Group B | ASD Pineto Calcio | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Campobasso |
| 19/06/21 Italy Serie D | ASD Pineto Calcio | 3-2 | Campobasso |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 5 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 2 | 13 |
| 2 | AC Reggiana | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 11 | 5 | 11 |
| 3 | Ravenna | 5 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 11 |
| 4 | Livorno | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 5 | 10 |
| 5 | Torres | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 10 |
| 6 | Grosseto | 5 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 4 | 9 |
| 7 | Forli | 6 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 12 | 10 | 9 |
| 8 | Atalanta U23 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 9 |
| 9 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 8 |
| 10 | Gubbio | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 9 | 7 |
| 11 | Campobasso | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 7 | 7 |
| 12 | Perugia | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 7 |
| 13 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 6 |
| 14 | Pescara | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 9 | 5 |
| 15 | US Latina Calcio | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 5 |
| 16 | FC Vado | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 4 |
| 17 | AS Ostia Mare | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5 | 8 | 3 |
| 18 | US Pianese | 5 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 2 |
| 19 | Sambenedettese | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 6 | 10 | 1 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 5 | 0 | 1 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 1 |
Common opponents 2 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Campobasso | ASD Pineto Calcio |
|---|---|---|
| Gubbio | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Perugia | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 1 L | 0 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Campobasso (1 of 2 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Campobasso
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 29/08 | Spezia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/08 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 26/04 | Ascoli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 18/04 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 11/04 | AC Bra Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 04/04 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 29/03 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 1 | D |
ASD Pineto Calcio
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/09 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 29/08 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 9 | D |
| 23/08 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 26/04 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 18/04 | Arezzo Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-4 | 0 | 6 | L |
| 11/04 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 6 | D |
| 04/04 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 29/03 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 0 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Campobasso vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Campobasso win (47%). Probabilities: Campobasso 47%, draw 29%, ASD Pineto Calcio 24%.
How many goals are expected in Campobasso vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
The model expects 2.04 goals (Campobasso 1.25 · ASD Pineto Calcio 0.79), with a 54% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Campobasso vs ASD Pineto Calcio?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.