Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 21/09, 20:30

Prediction: US Pianese vs Sambenedettese

Team pages: US Pianese · Sambenedettese

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2Total
US Pianese1.07
Sambenedettese0.93
1X2
38% 31% 30%
US Pianese Draw Sambenedettese
Markets
Over 1.5 goals 61% Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
0-0 15%
Recent form · 10 last
US Pianese 1-5-4 (W-D-L)
DLDDWLDLDL
Sambenedettese 2-4-4 (W-D-L)
DDDWWDLLLL
Head-to-head
US Pianese 1–1–0 Sambenedettese (2 last)
  • Sambenedettese0-2US Pianese
  • US Pianese1-1Sambenedettese
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · US Pianese 1491 · Sambenedettese 1468
US PianeseDrawSambenedettese
Our model37%33%29%
Market39%30%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 69%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

US PianeseSambenedettese
Goals for / against (FT)0.5 / 0.91.2 / 1.4
Goals for / against (HT)0.2 / 0.40.5 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)10/60/30%30/60/10%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.81.5 / 3.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.4 / 0.14.4 / 0.3

Head-to-head (H2H) · US Pianese 110 Sambenedettese

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DateHomeScoreAway
24/01/26
Italy Serie C Group B
Sambenedettese0-2
HT 0-0
US Pianese
13/09/25
Italy Serie C Group B
US Pianese1-1
HT 1-1
Sambenedettese

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Spezia 5410 9213
2 AC Reggiana 5320 11511
3 Ravenna 5320 8211
4 Livorno 5311 6510
5 Torres 6312 8810
6 Grosseto 5230 749
7 Forli 6231 12109
8 Atalanta U23 5302 779
9 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 5221 748
10 Gubbio 5212 997
11 Campobasso 5212 777
12 Perugia 5212 597
13 ASD Pineto Calcio 5131 446
14 Pescara 5122 795
15 US Latina Calcio 5122 575
16 FC Vado 5113 574
17 AS Ostia Mare 5104 583
18 US Pianese 5023 152
19 Sambenedettese 5014 6101
20 Vis Pesaro 5014 5121

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentUS PianeseSambenedettese
Torres 1-2 L 0-1 L
Ternana 3-1 W 1-1 D
Forli 0-0 D 2-2 D
Record vs common 1 W 1 D 1 L 0 W 2 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: US Pianese (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

US Pianese

DLDDWLDLDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 1-2 65 L
12/09 Grosseto
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 83 D
05/09 FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 23 L
28/08 FC Vado
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 85 D
23/08 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 12 L
26/04 Ternana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 3-1 81 W
18/04 Juventus U23
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 65 D
11/04 Gubbio
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-1 46 D
04/04 Campobasso
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 0-2 52 L
29/03 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 03 D

Sambenedettese

DDDWWDLLLL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
16/09 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group B
0-1 2-3 106 L
12/09 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-2 17 L
06/09 Spezia
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 1-2 13 L
29/08 Torres
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-1 25 L
23/08 Forli
Italy Serie C Group B
1-1 2-2 34 D
26/04 Vis Pesaro
Italy Serie C Group B
1-0 3-2 56 W
18/04 Pontedera
Italy Serie C Group B
2-0 2-1 62 W
04/04 Arezzo
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 14 D
29/03 ASD Pineto Calcio
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 0-0 57 D
20/03 Ternana
Italy Serie C Group B
0-0 1-1 23 D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in US Pianese vs Sambenedettese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a US Pianese win (38%). Probabilities: US Pianese 38%, draw 31%, Sambenedettese 30%.

How many goals are expected in US Pianese vs Sambenedettese?

The model expects 2 goals (US Pianese 1.07 · Sambenedettese 0.93), with a 51% chance of under 2 goals.

Will both teams score in US Pianese vs Sambenedettese?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-0.