Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 07/11, 17:30
Prediction: Forli vs Gubbio
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.19Total
Forli1.33
Gubbio0.86
1X2
Forli
Draw
Gubbio
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 62%
Not both to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Forli
1-5-4 (W-D-L)
Gubbio
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Forli
2–4
Gubbio
(6 last)
- Gubbio2-0Forli
- Forli0-1Gubbio
- Forli1-0Gubbio
- Gubbio1-0Forli
- Gubbio2-1Forli
- Forli2-1Gubbio
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Forli 1454 · Gubbio 1452
| Forli | Draw | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 31% | 23% |
| Market | 47% | 29% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.19 goals · Bet365 line 2.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Gubbio: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Forli | Gubbio | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 1.3 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.2 / 1.1 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4.9 | 2.4 / 4.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.2 / 0.3 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Forli 2–0–4 Gubbio
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/01/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Gubbio | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Forli |
| 13/09/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Forli | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Gubbio |
| 25/02/17 Italy Serie C Group B | Forli | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Gubbio |
| 08/10/16 Italy Serie C Group B | Gubbio | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Forli |
| 22/03/15 Italy Serie C Group B | Gubbio | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Forli |
| 08/11/14 Italy Serie C Group B | Forli | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Gubbio |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | AC Reggiana | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Pescara | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Livorno | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Torres | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Campobasso | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Perugia | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Vado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | US Latina Calcio | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 14 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Forli | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
| 17 | US Pianese | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 18 | AS Ostia Mare | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 5 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Forli | Gubbio |
|---|---|---|
| Campobasso | 0-2 L | 4-2 W |
| AS Ostia Mare | 1-1 D | 0-2 L |
| ASD Pineto Calcio | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Vis Pesaro | 2-1 W | 0-0 D |
| US Latina Calcio | 0-2 L | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Forli (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Forli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/09 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
Gubbio
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 4 | D |
| 23/10 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 18/10 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | Spezia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 03/10 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 27/09 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 20/09 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 05/09 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 4-2 | 6 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Forli vs Gubbio?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Forli win (47%). Probabilities: Forli 47%, draw 30%, Gubbio 23%.
How many goals are expected in Forli vs Gubbio?
The model expects 2.19 goals (Forli 1.33 · Gubbio 0.86), with a 52% chance of under 2.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Forli vs Gubbio?
The model gives a 51% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.