Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 15/11, 17:30
Prediction: Ravenna vs Forli
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.54Total
Ravenna1.91
Forli0.63
1X2
Ravenna
Draw
Forli
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 53%
Not both to score 52%
Most likely score
2-0 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Ravenna
8-0-2 (W-D-L)
Forli
2-5-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ravenna
2–2–2
Forli
(6 last)
- Ravenna2-1Forli
- Ravenna0-0Forli
- Forli1-0Ravenna
- Forli3-2Ravenna
- Ravenna2-0Forli
- Ravenna1-1Forli
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ravenna 1586 · Forli 1476
| Ravenna | Draw | Forli | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 67% | 23% | 10% |
| Market | 68% | 21% | 11% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.54 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ravenna (rating 1586 vs 1476).
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ravenna | Forli | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 0.6 | 0.9 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.3 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/40/0% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.8 | 1.7 / 4.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ravenna 2–2–2 Forli
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 01/09/26 Italy Serie C Cup | Ravenna | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Forli |
| 10/01/26 Italy Serie C Group B | Ravenna | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Forli |
| 01/09/25 Italy Serie C Group B | Forli | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Ravenna |
| 23/03/25 Italy Serie D | Forli | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Ravenna |
| 09/11/24 Italy Serie D | Ravenna | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Forli |
| 01/09/24 Italy Serie D Cup | Ravenna | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Forli |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 13 | 11 | 2 | 0 | 25 | 6 | 35 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 13 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 25 | 8 | 29 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 13 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 26 | 18 | 23 |
| 4 | Pescara | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 18 | 14 | 22 |
| 5 | Torres | 13 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 12 | 22 |
| 6 | AC Reggiana | 13 | 6 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 15 | 20 |
| 7 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 20 |
| 8 | Livorno | 13 | 5 | 5 | 3 | 18 | 17 | 20 |
| 9 | Campobasso | 13 | 5 | 4 | 4 | 19 | 21 | 19 |
| 10 | Atalanta U23 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 7 | 18 | 21 | 18 |
| 11 | Perugia | 13 | 5 | 2 | 6 | 18 | 21 | 17 |
| 12 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 13 | 4 | 5 | 4 | 11 | 13 | 17 |
| 13 | FC Vado | 13 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 16 | 16 |
| 14 | US Latina Calcio | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 14 | 15 |
| 15 | Forli | 13 | 3 | 6 | 4 | 17 | 18 | 15 |
| 16 | US Pianese | 13 | 2 | 7 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 13 |
| 17 | Sambenedettese | 13 | 2 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 22 | 10 |
| 18 | AS Ostia Mare | 13 | 2 | 3 | 8 | 10 | 19 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 13 | 2 | 2 | 9 | 10 | 22 | 8 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 13 | 1 | 2 | 10 | 11 | 27 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ravenna | Forli |
|---|---|---|
| FC Vado | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| ASD Pineto Calcio | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Vis Pesaro | 4-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Campobasso | 3-1 W | 0-2 L |
| US Pianese | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Gubbio | 2-0 W | 1-0 W |
| AS Ostia Mare | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 6 W 0 D 1 L | 2 W 3 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Ravenna (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ravenna
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 01/11 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-1 | 2-1 | 9 | 7 | W |
| 24/10 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
3-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 8 | W |
| 18/10 | Spezia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 11/10 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 04/10 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 27/09 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 20/09 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 16/09 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 13/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Forli
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/11 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 01/11 | Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 10 | 5 | L |
| 25/10 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 17/10 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B |
0-2 | 2-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 11/10 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 03/10 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 27/09 | AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 19/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 6 | D |
| 16/09 | ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 12/09 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ravenna vs Forli?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ravenna win (67%). Probabilities: Ravenna 67%, draw 22%, Forli 11%.
How many goals are expected in Ravenna vs Forli?
The model expects 2.54 goals (Ravenna 1.91 · Forli 0.63), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Ravenna vs Forli?
The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.