Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 15/11, 14:30

Prediction: Pescara vs Sambenedettese

Team pages: Pescara · Sambenedettese

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.61Total

Pescara1.75

Sambenedettese0.86

1X2

58% 24% 17%

Pescara Draw Sambenedettese

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 52% Both teams to score 51%

Most likely score

1-1 12%

Recent form · 10 last

Pescara 5-3-2 (W-D-L)

LDWLWDWWDW

Sambenedettese 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

LLDLWDDWLL

Head-to-head

Pescara 0–1 Sambenedettese (1 last)

Pescara0-1Sambenedettese

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Pescara 1538 · Sambenedettese 1476

	Pescara	Draw	Sambenedettese
Our model	58%	26%	17%
Market	58%	24%	18%

Estimated total (ours) 2.61 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Pescara (rating 1538 vs 1476).
Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Pescara	Sambenedettese
Goals for / against (FT)	1.3 / 0.8	1.4 / 1.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.2 / 0.2	0.7 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/60/20%	40/30/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.4 / 5.7	2.3 / 4.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.2 / 0.1	4.1 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

11.53

X3.80

25.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.90

2 (+1)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.85

Under 2.751.95

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.00 → 5.00	Bet365 5.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
16:05 +5’	1.53	3.80	5.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Pescara 0–0–1 Sambenedettese

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Date	Home	Score	Away
16/08/26 Italy Serie C Cup	Pescara	0-1 HT 0-1	Sambenedettese

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spezia	13	11	2	0	25	6	35
2	Ravenna	13	9	2	2	25	8	29
3	Grosseto	13	6	5	2	26	18	23
4	Pescara	13	6	4	3	18	14	22
5	Torres	13	6	4	3	15	12	22
6	AC Reggiana	13	6	2	5	19	15	20
7	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	13	5	5	3	17	14	20
8	Livorno	13	5	5	3	18	17	20
9	Campobasso	13	5	4	4	19	21	19
10	Atalanta U23	13	6	0	7	18	21	18
11	Perugia	13	5	2	6	18	21	17
12	ASD Pineto Calcio	13	4	5	4	11	13	17
13	FC Vado	13	4	4	5	15	16	16
14	US Latina Calcio	13	3	6	4	12	14	15
15	Forli	13	3	6	4	17	18	15
16	US Pianese	13	2	7	4	10	13	13
17	Sambenedettese	13	2	4	7	17	22	10
18	AS Ostia Mare	13	2	3	8	10	19	9
19	Gubbio	13	2	2	9	10	22	8
20	Vis Pesaro	13	1	2	10	11	27	5

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Pescara	Sambenedettese
Grosseto	3-1 W	3-1 W
FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	1-1 D	1-2 L
Livorno	1-0 W	2-1 W
FC Vado	1-0 W	2-2 D
Atalanta U23	1-2 L	2-3 L
Record vs common	3 W 1 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: Pescara (2 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Pescara

LDWLWDWWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	3-1	5	4	W
31/10	Torres Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/10	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/10	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
12/10	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
03/10	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
27/09	Spezia Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/09	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
16/09	Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
12/09	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	7	3	L

Sambenedettese

LLDLWDDWLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
08/11	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B	1-1	1-2	7	0	L
30/10	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-2	4	2	L
24/10	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-1	2	2	W
17/10	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-2	3	6	D
11/10	US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	4	1	D
03/10	Grosseto Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	3-1	3	9	W
26/09	Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-2	11	4	L
21/09	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
16/09	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	2-3	10	6	L
12/09	ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	1	7	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Pescara win (58%). Probabilities: Pescara 58%, draw 24%, Sambenedettese 17%.

How many goals are expected in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?

The model expects 2.61 goals (Pescara 1.75 · Sambenedettese 0.86), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Pescara vs Sambenedettese?

The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.