Football · Italy Serie C Group B · 08/11, 12:30

Prediction: Grosseto vs Pescara

Team pages: Grosseto · Pescara

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.73Total

Grosseto1.24

Pescara1.49

1X2

30% 27% 42%

Grosseto Draw Pescara

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Grosseto 5-4-1 (W-D-L)

WDDWWLWDWD

Pescara 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWLWDWWD

Head-to-head

Grosseto 0–3 Pescara (3 last)

Pescara2-1Grosseto
Grosseto1-2Pescara
Pescara2-0Grosseto

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Grosseto 1531 · Pescara 1528

	Grosseto	Draw	Pescara
Our model	30%	28%	42%
Market	31%	27%	42%

Estimated total (ours) 2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 51%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Pescara: 3-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Grosseto	Pescara
Goals for / against (FT)	2.2 / 1.3	1 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	1.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/20/20%	20/60/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 4.2	3.2 / 5.6
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4.7 / 0.2	4.2 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.30

22.10

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.90

2 (-0.25)1.90

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.6

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 01:37

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.20 ★
X	3.40 → 3.30▼	Pinn 3.46
2	2.10 → 2.10	Pinn 2.13

See the full journey (2)

Bet365 margin 12.4% Pinnacle margin 7.1%

Time*	1	X	2
13:19 +7’	2.90	3.40	2.10
01:36 +1’	2.90	3.30▼	2.10

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
10:10 +8’	3.01	3.37	2.27
14:03 +25’	3.21▲	3.44▲	2.13▼
15:27 +58’	3.20▼	3.46▲	2.13

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Other markets

Both teams to score

Go premium to see every market's movement

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Grosseto 0–0–3 Pescara

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/04/22 Italy Serie C Group B	Pescara	2-1 HT 2-1	Grosseto
05/12/21 Italy Serie C Group B	Grosseto	1-2 HT 0-2	Pescara
15/09/21 Italy Serie C Cup	Pescara	2-0 HT 1-0	Grosseto

Standings · Italy Serie C Group B

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Spezia	12	10	2	0	21	6	32
2	Ravenna	12	8	2	2	22	7	26
3	Grosseto	12	6	5	1	25	15	23
4	AC Reggiana	12	6	2	4	16	11	20
5	Pescara	12	5	4	3	15	13	19
6	Livorno	12	5	4	3	17	16	19
7	Torres	12	5	4	3	13	12	19
8	Campobasso	12	5	3	4	18	20	18
9	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937	12	4	5	3	15	13	17
10	Perugia	12	5	2	5	16	18	17
11	FC Vado	12	4	4	4	14	13	16
12	US Latina Calcio	12	3	6	3	12	12	15
13	Atalanta U23	12	5	0	7	14	18	15
14	ASD Pineto Calcio	12	3	5	4	10	13	14
15	Forli	12	2	6	4	16	18	12
16	Sambenedettese	12	2	4	6	16	20	10
17	US Pianese	12	1	7	4	7	11	10
18	AS Ostia Mare	12	2	3	7	10	15	9
19	Gubbio	12	2	2	8	10	21	8
20	Vis Pesaro	12	1	2	9	11	26	5

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Grosseto	Pescara
FC Vado	2-2 D	1-0 W
Livorno	4-4 D	1-0 W
Perugia	2-0 W	2-1 W
Torres	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 0 L	3 W 1 D 0 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Grosseto

WDDWWLWDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	1-2	2-2	6	2	D
25/10	AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-0	6	2	W
16/10	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	2-2	4-4	1	5	D
10/10	Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B	2-1	3-2	6	5	W
03/10	Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B	0-2	1-3	8	9	L
26/09	ASD Pineto Calcio Italy Serie C Group B	3-0	4-0	1	5	W
20/09	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-0	4	8	W
16/09	Campobasso Italy Serie C Group B	2-0	2-2	2	4	D
12/09	US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	3	3	D
06/09	Torres Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-0	5	6	W

Pescara

DLDWLWDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/10	Torres Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	7	4	D
23/10	Perugia Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	2-1	7	6	W
18/10	AS Ostia Mare Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	2-0	3	4	W
12/10	FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-1	9	3	D
03/10	Livorno Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-0	4	5	W
27/09	Spezia Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	3	3	L
20/09	FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B	1-0	1-0	2	7	W
16/09	Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B	0-1	1-1	10	4	D
12/09	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	1-2	7	3	L
06/09	Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B	0-0	0-0	4	4	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Grosseto vs Pescara?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Pescara win (42%). Probabilities: Grosseto 30%, draw 27%, Pescara 42%.

How many goals are expected in Grosseto vs Pescara?

The model expects 2.73 goals (Grosseto 1.24 · Pescara 1.49), with a 52% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Grosseto vs Pescara?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.