Prediction: AS Ostia Mare vs Spezia
Team pages: AS Ostia Mare · Spezia
| AS Ostia Mare | Draw | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 16% | 26% | 58% |
| Market | 16% | 24% | 59% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Spezia (rating 1466 vs 1616).
- High corners: 11.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| AS Ostia Mare | Spezia | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.9 / 0.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.6 / 6 | 2.6 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.5 |
Standings · Italy Serie C Group B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spezia | 12 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 21 | 6 | 32 |
| 2 | Ravenna | 12 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 22 | 7 | 26 |
| 3 | Grosseto | 12 | 6 | 5 | 1 | 25 | 15 | 23 |
| 4 | AC Reggiana | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4 | 16 | 11 | 20 |
| 5 | Pescara | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 19 |
| 6 | Livorno | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 17 | 16 | 19 |
| 7 | Torres | 12 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 13 | 12 | 19 |
| 8 | Campobasso | 12 | 5 | 3 | 4 | 18 | 20 | 18 |
| 9 | FC Guidonia Montecelio 1937 | 12 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 15 | 13 | 17 |
| 10 | Perugia | 12 | 5 | 2 | 5 | 16 | 18 | 17 |
| 11 | FC Vado | 12 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 13 | 16 |
| 12 | US Latina Calcio | 12 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 12 | 12 | 15 |
| 13 | Atalanta U23 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 14 | 18 | 15 |
| 14 | ASD Pineto Calcio | 12 | 3 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 14 |
| 15 | Forli | 12 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 16 | 18 | 12 |
| 16 | Sambenedettese | 12 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | 10 |
| 17 | US Pianese | 12 | 1 | 7 | 4 | 7 | 11 | 10 |
| 18 | AS Ostia Mare | 12 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 15 | 9 |
| 19 | Gubbio | 12 | 2 | 2 | 8 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
| 20 | Vis Pesaro | 12 | 1 | 2 | 9 | 11 | 26 | 5 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | AS Ostia Mare | Spezia |
|---|---|---|
| Livorno | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Pescara | 0-2 L | 2-1 W |
| US Latina Calcio | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Gubbio | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Ravenna | 0-1 L | 1-0 W |
| Vis Pesaro | 2-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Spezia (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
AS Ostia Mare
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
| 23/10 | FC Vado Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 18/10 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 10/10 | US Pianese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 04/10 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 27/09 | Forli Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 8 | 3 | D |
| 20/09 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 16/09 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 13/09 | Torres Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 05/09 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 10 | 4 | W |
Spezia
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/11 | Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 24/10 | US Latina Calcio Italy Serie C Group B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 18/10 | Ravenna Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 10/10 | Gubbio Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 04/10 | AC Reggiana Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 6 | W |
| 27/09 | Pescara Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 21/09 | Vis Pesaro Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 3 | 2 | W |
| 16/09 | Perugia Italy Serie C Group B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 12/09 | Livorno Italy Serie C Group B |
0-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 06/09 | Sambenedettese Italy Serie C Group B |
0-1 | 2-1 | 12 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in AS Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Spezia win (59%). Probabilities: AS Ostia Mare 16%, draw 25%, Spezia 59%.
How many goals are expected in AS Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
The model expects 2.45 goals (AS Ostia Mare 0.77 · Spezia 1.69), with a 52% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in AS Ostia Mare vs Spezia?
The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 0-1.