Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 24/08, 21:00

Prediction: Team Altamura vs Monopoli

Team pages: Team Altamura · Monopoli

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.01Total

Team Altamura0.93

Monopoli1.08

1X2

30% 31% 38%

Team Altamura Draw Monopoli

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 67% Not both to score 52%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Team Altamura 2-3-5 (W-D-L)

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Monopoli 3-4-3 (W-D-L)

DLWLWDDLWD

Head-to-head

Team Altamura 1–2–1 Monopoli (4 last)

Team Altamura2-0Monopoli
Monopoli1-1Team Altamura
Monopoli1-1Team Altamura
Team Altamura0-1Monopoli

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Team Altamura 1476 · Monopoli 1451

	Team Altamura	Draw	Monopoli
Our model	29%	33%	37%
Market	31%	30%	39%

Estimated total (ours) 2.01 goals · Bet365 line 2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 63%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Team Altamura	Monopoli
Goals for / against (FT)	0.6 / 1.3	1 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 0.7	0.2 / 0.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/30/50%	0/50/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	0.8 / 2.2	1.2 / 2.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.1	3.7 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

12.90

X3.00

22.30

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)1.77

2 (-0.25)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 21.77

Under 22.02

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 2.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 21:51

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.90 → 2.90	Pinn 3.41 ★
X	3.00 → 3.00	Bet365 3.00
2	2.30 → 2.30	Pinn 2.31

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3% Pinnacle margin 7.8%

Time*	1	X	2
21:47 +4’	2.90	3.00	2.30

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:46 +5’	3.41	2.84	2.31

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Team Altamura 1–2–1 Monopoli

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Date	Home	Score	Away
06/02/26 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	2-0 HT 2-0	Monopoli
24/09/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Monopoli	1-1 HT 0-0	Team Altamura
16/02/25 Italy Serie C Group C	Monopoli	1-1 HT 0-1	Team Altamura
05/10/24 Italy Serie C Group C	Team Altamura	0-1 HT 0-1	Monopoli

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Potenza	1	1	0	0	4	1	3
2	Bari	1	1	0	0	3	0	3
3	Audace Cerignola	1	1	0	0	3	1	3
4	Casertana	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
4	Giugliano	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
4	Scafatese	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
4	Barletta	1	0	1	0	3	3	1
8	AC Savoia 1908	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Sorrento Calcio	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	AZ Picerno ASD	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Foggia	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Catania	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Crotone	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Inter Milan U23	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Monopoli	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Team Altamura	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
8	Salernitana	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
18	Cosenza	1	0	0	1	1	3	0
19	Casarano	1	0	0	1	1	4	0
20	Cavese	1	0	0	1	0	3	0

Common opponents 4 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Team Altamura	Monopoli
Casarano	0-4 L	2-1 W
Giugliano	1-1 D	0-2 L
Foggia	1-0 W	1-0 W
AZ Picerno ASD	0-0 D	0-0 D
Record vs common	1 W 2 D 1 L	2 W 1 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Team Altamura

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/04	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-2	0-4	1	2	L
19/04	Audace Cerignola Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	3	2	D
12/04	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-1	1	4	D
06/04	Sorrento Calcio Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	4	5	L
29/03	Siracusa Italy Serie C Group C	1-0	1-0	2	3	W
23/03	Salernitana Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	1-2	1	4	L
15/03	Catania Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-2	3	6	L
08/03	Cosenza Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-1	1	5	L
05/03	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	4	1	W
28/02	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	2	3	D

Monopoli

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/04	Potenza Italy Serie C Group C	1-2	2-2	3	1	D
19/04	Foggia Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-0	2	5	W
12/04	Atalanta U23 Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-2	6	2	L
04/04	Trapani Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	4	7	D
29/03	AZ Picerno ASD Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	0-0	1	4	D
23/03	Benevento Italy Serie C Group C	1-1	2-1	4	2	W
15/03	Casertana Italy Serie C Group C	0-0	1-2	2	3	L
09/03	Casarano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	2-1	2	2	W
05/03	Giugliano Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	0-2	2	6	L
01/03	Crotone Italy Serie C Group C	0-1	1-1	3	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Monopoli win (38%). Probabilities: Team Altamura 30%, draw 31%, Monopoli 38%.

How many goals are expected in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?

The model expects 2.01 goals (Team Altamura 0.93 · Monopoli 1.08), with a 50% chance of over 2 goals.

Will both teams score in Team Altamura vs Monopoli?

The model gives a 52% chance that not both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.