Football · Italy Serie C Group C · 28/08, 21:00

Prediction: Cavese vs Audace Cerignola

Team pages: Cavese · Audace Cerignola

Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.48Total
Cavese1.33
Audace Cerignola1.16
1X2
39% 30% 31%
Cavese Draw Audace Cerignola
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 55% Both teams to score 52%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Cavese 2-5-3 (W-D-L)
LWDDLDWDDL
Audace Cerignola 4-3-3 (W-D-L)
WLWWLDLDDW
Head-to-head
Cavese 3–3 Audace Cerignola (6 last)
  • Cavese2-0Audace Cerignola
  • Audace Cerignola1-3Cavese
  • Cavese0-2Audace Cerignola
  • Audace Cerignola3-1Cavese
  • Cavese1-0Audace Cerignola
  • Cavese1-2Audace Cerignola
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Cavese 1497 · Audace Cerignola 1491
CaveseDrawAudace Cerignola
Our model39%30%31%
Market39%30%31%
Estimated total (ours) 2.48 goals · Bet365 line 2.25 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

CaveseAudace Cerignola
Goals for / against (FT)0.8 / 1.11.9 / 1.9
Goals for / against (HT)0.3 / 0.40.8 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/50/30%30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)2.4 / 4.12.3 / 4.9
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)3.5 / 0.13.2 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · Cavese 303 Audace Cerignola

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/02/26
Italy Serie C Group C
Cavese2-0
HT 0-0
Audace Cerignola
19/10/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Audace Cerignola1-3
HT 0-1
Cavese
06/04/25
Italy Serie C Group C
Cavese0-2
HT 0-1
Audace Cerignola
24/11/24
Italy Serie C Group C
Audace Cerignola3-1
HT 2-0
Cavese
13/05/18
Italy Serie D Play-Offs
Cavese1-0
HT 0-0
Audace Cerignola
11/02/18
Italy Serie D
Cavese1-2Audace Cerignola

Standings · Italy Serie C Group C

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Potenza 1100 413
2 Bari 1100 303
3 Audace Cerignola 1100 313
4 AZ Picerno ASD 1100 323
5 Sorrento Calcio 1100 213
5 Inter Milan U23 1100 213
7 Foggia 1100 103
7 Team Altamura 1100 103
9 Casertana 1010 331
9 Giugliano 1010 331
9 Scafatese 1010 331
9 Barletta 1010 331
13 AC Savoia 1908 1001 230
14 Catania 1001 120
14 Salernitana 1001 120
16 Monopoli 1001 010
17 Cosenza 1001 130
18 Casarano 1001 140
19 Cavese 1001 030
20 Crotone 1001 01-6

Common opponents 5 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentCaveseAudace Cerignola
Cosenza 1-1 D 3-1 W
Benevento 1-0 W 2-2 D
Atalanta U23 1-1 D 2-3 L
Casertana 0-1 L 1-4 L
Crotone 0-2 L 1-3 L
Record vs common 1 W 2 D 2 L 1 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Cavese (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Cavese

LWDDLDWDDL

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
21/08 Bari
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-3 83 L
26/04 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 72 D
19/04 Siracusa
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 31 D
13/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-0 02 W
08/04 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-1 54 D
04/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-1 33 L
22/03 Foggia
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 0-0 37 D
14/03 Potenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 73 D
08/03 AZ Picerno ASD
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 2-0 47 W
05/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 0-2 14 L

Audace Cerignola

WLWWLDLDDW

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
22/08 Cosenza
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 3-1 66 W
26/04 Benevento
Italy Serie C Group C
1-1 2-2 30 D
19/04 Team Altamura
Italy Serie C Group C
1-0 1-1 62 D
12/04 Casertana
Italy Serie C Group C
0-4 1-4 63 L
06/04 US Latina Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
0-1 1-1 52 D
29/03 Crotone
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-3 26 L
22/03 Giugliano
Italy Serie C Group C
0-0 1-0 81 W
15/03 Sorrento Calcio
Italy Serie C Group C
2-1 3-2 57 W
09/03 Atalanta U23
Italy Serie C Group C
0-2 2-3 43 L
05/03 Trapani
Italy Serie C Group C
3-1 4-2 42 W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Cavese win (39%). Probabilities: Cavese 39%, draw 30%, Audace Cerignola 31%.

How many goals are expected in Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?

The model expects 2.48 goals (Cavese 1.33 · Audace Cerignola 1.16), with a 50% chance of over 2.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Cavese vs Audace Cerignola?

The model gives a 52% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.